BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Parcel-split allocation risk / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_parcel-split-allocation-risk_4293

Parcel-split allocation risk

verifiedHARRIMAN DITCH →

Irrigated place D1-2020-10913508 (152 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARRIMAN DITCH) now spans 12 parcels held by 9 owner(s) — 12 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.

Priority
51.6
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.80
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.30
urgency0.50
confidence0.80
freshness0.50
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0900731
state
CO
county
JEFFERSON
owners
["VESTAR BOWLES CROSSING LLC","GRANT PROPERTIES I LTD","WESTLAKE GREENS APARTMENTS INVESTORS LLC","GRANT RESERVOIR CO","GRANT PROPERTIES I LLLP","GRANT RESERVOIR COMPANY","BOWLES VILLAGE CENTER LLC","DORADO GREENS SUBASSOCIATION INC","FAIRWAYS AT RACCOON CREEK LLC"]
latitude
39.611439
place_id
D1-2020-10913508
longitude
-105.087145
parcel_ids
["08059-59-143-01-020","08031-0914200012000","08031-0914201009000","08031-0914500001000","08059-59-144-00-003","08059-59-144-00-001","08059-59-144-00-006","08059-59-144-01-001","08031-0913225030000","08031-0914500002000","08031-0914500007000","08059-59-144-02-001"]
county_fips
08059
identifiers
{"wdid":"0900731"}
structure_name
HARRIMAN DITCH
score_components
{"owners":9,"parcels":12,"place_acres":152,"parcels_without_instrument":12}
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_parcel-split-allocation-risk_4293
record
D1-2020-10913508 @ water_irrigated_places
signal
signal:parcel-split-allocation-risk
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~131 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.84.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~131 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.84.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~131 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.84.0
78Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 93% in median years → 71% dry → 39% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.81.1
78Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 93% in median years → 71% dry → 39% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.81.1
78Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 93% in median years → 71% dry → 39% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.81.1
73Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~127 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.82.7
73Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac commercial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
73Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
73Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac industrial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
73Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac commercial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
73Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac commercial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
70Basin chokepoint callerHARRIMAN DITCH has put 710 decreed rights (345 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 157,512.4 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 23.5.23.5
68Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac industrial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
67Augmentation condition not verifiedHARRIMAN DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.76.7
65Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 93% in median years → 72% dry → 41% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.78.2
65Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac commercial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.94.7
64Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~111 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.77.6
64Underused water asset290.912 ac (JEFFERSON County, UNITED STATES OF AMERICA): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HARRIMAN DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
60Critical caller value-at-riskHARRIMAN DITCH's observed call reaches 129 parcels — 1,109 coverage-weighted acres, $6.0M assessed value, 65 distinct owners — through the 541 structures it has put out of priority (157,512.4 day-equivalents, most recently 2026).57.4
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~105 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.75.7
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~115 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.78.9
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~127 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.82.7
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~111 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.77.6
59Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~131 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.84.0
59Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~111 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.77.6
58Underused water asset221.062 ac (JEFFERSON County, FOOTHILLS PARK & RECREATION DISTRICT): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HARRIMAN DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
58Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac industrial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.85.4
55Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10913506 (216 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARRIMAN DITCH) now spans 5 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 5 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
54Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10913507 (196 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARRIMAN DITCH) now spans 78 parcels held by 73 owner(s) — 78 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
54Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 94% in median years → 75% dry → 48% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 46-point cliff under stress.68.4
53Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac industrial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.79.1
53Decree-to-current-use conflict1.214 ac residential parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.77.9
52Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 93% in median years → 71% dry → 39% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.81.1
52Underused water asset134.978 ac (JEFFERSON County, JEFFERSON COUNTY): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HARRIMAN DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
52Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 93% in median years → 72% dry → 41% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.78.2
52Decree-to-current-use conflict1.234 ac residential parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.76.6
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10912837 (147 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARRIMAN DITCH) now spans 4 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
51Decree-to-current-use conflict1.03 ac residential parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.75.8
51Decree-to-current-use conflict0.926 ac residential parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.75.5
50Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 94% in median years → 75% dry → 46% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 47-point cliff under stress.71.1
50Underused water asset111.421 ac (JEFFERSON County, GRANT PROPERTIES I LLLP): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HARRIMAN DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10913509 (125 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARRIMAN DITCH) now spans 5 parcels held by 4 owner(s) — 5 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
50Decree-to-current-use conflict1.56 ac residential parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.74.5
49Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 92% in median years → 70% dry → 39% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.6
49Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 92% in median years → 70% dry → 39% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.6
49Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 94% in median years → 75% dry → 48% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 46-point cliff under stress.68.4
49Decree-to-current-use conflict1.689 ac residential parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.70.6
49Underused water asset90.624 ac (JEFFERSON County, CITY & COUNTY OF DENVER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HARRIMAN DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 94% in median years → 75% dry → 48% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 46-point cliff under stress.68.4