BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Parcel-split allocation risk / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_parcel-split-allocation-risk_4292

Parcel-split allocation risk

verifiedHARRIMAN DITCH

Irrigated place D1-2020-10913507 (196 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARRIMAN DITCH) now spans 78 parcels held by 73 owner(s) — 78 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.

Priority
54.3
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.80
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.39
urgency0.50
confidence0.80
freshness0.50
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0900731
state
CO
county
JEFFERSON
owners
["COLORADO ACADEMY","PERINGTON,PHILIP","SOMMER,SUSANNE B","HAMEL,WILLIAM","DUTTON,KRISTEN K","DIXON,RICHARD J","RICHARDS,BARBARA H","OBOYLE,KAREN L","BOYLE,MARY B","UNTIEDT,JON","COX,OWEN S","NEALON,NANCY A","RONDINELLI,STEPHEN C","SMART,JOHN D","OSMAN,ZACHARY ROBERT","HERMANN,EDNA J","MANSFIELD EIGHTH LLC","MILLER,JAY P","BUSHACHER,ROBERT W","THE MALLECK LIVING TRUST","ALLEN,MICHAEL T","GRAVINA,CHRISTINE","WARD,CHRISTINA L REV TRUST","O'NEILL,JOANNE E 2020 REVOCABLE TRUST","KING,LARRY FAMILY IRREVOCABLE TRUST","SPAETH,JENNIFER J","HEITSMITH,WILLIAM R","MILLER,JOHN A & & JUDY A","STOCKLEY,JOYCE S TRUST","ROY,BRIAN T","LONG,DEBORAH A","HAGAN LIVING TRUST","ALLEN,LANCE TRUST","WOLD,CAROLYN 1991 TRUST","MARTI,REMO H","WORTHINGTON,DANIEL B","REGAS,CHRIS A","MILLER,GREG W","CARPENTER,DAVID W","MCGOWAN FAMILY TRUST","PERRY,JERROLD LLOYD II","STOCKLEY,JOYCE S","REED,JOHN T & DIANE F","MORITIS,GUNTIS","PAYSON,ELIOT R","DOWLING,RONALD","ETHRIDGE,CONNIE E TRUST","MCCASLIN,FRANK","CLINE,RICHARD PATRICK","SMITH,WILLIAM M","ETHRIDGE,MARK T","COLAIZZI,JOHN A","PFISTER,RONALD F & MARCIA M","POTARF,JEANNE & JOHN E","DECOURCEY,THOMAS E","MANDLER,KARYN M","WEST MANSFIELD INVESTMENTS LLC","PARSONS AND JOHNSON TRUST","NOWICKI,RON & CINDY","WILLITS,DOUGLAS G","SCHRODER,SUE","HAMPEL FAMILY TRUST","SYPHER,STEVEN RAY","PALZET,JOHN A","SIMMONS,JOAN M","KINSLEY,ALLISON P","PINEHURST COUNTRY CLUB","FAIRWAYS AT PINEHURST HOMEOWNERS ASSOCIATION","ADDENBROOKE CLASSICAL ACADEMY BUILDING CO","DENVER CHRISTIAN SCHOOLS","LUNDBERG,MELANIE CAROLYN REVOCABLE TRUST","LAMBERT,CHARLES THOMAS","BLUFFS AT PINEHURST LLC"]
latitude
39.648981
place_id
D1-2020-10913507
longitude
-105.066528
parcel_ids
["08059-59-012-00-013","08031-0901416029029","08031-0901416024024","08031-0901416022022","08031-0901416021021","08031-0901416010010","08031-0901416006006","08031-0901416001001","08031-0901416016016","08031-0901416007007","08031-0901416018018","08031-0901416005005","08031-0901416004004","08031-0901416002002","08031-0901416023023","08031-0901416014014","08031-0901416020020","08031-0901416027027","08031-0901416015015","08031-0901416012012","08031-0901416009009","08031-0901416008008","08031-0901416003003","08031-0901416026026","08031-0901416017017","08031-0901416013013","08031-0901416011011","08031-0901416025025","08031-0901416019019","08031-0901416001999","08031-0901415015015","08031-0901415005005","08031-0901415033033","08031-0901415014014","08031-0901415013013","08031-0901415036036","08031-0901415022022","08031-0901415003003","08031-0901415029029","08031-0901415004004","08031-0901415028028","08031-0901415012012","08031-0901415006006","08031-0901415024024","08031-0901415007007","08031-0901415026026","08031-0901415018018","08031-0901415023023","08031-0901415034034","08031-0901415038038","08031-0901415032032","08031-0901415031031","08031-0901415035035","08031-0901415021021","08031-0901415002002","08031-0901415016016","08031-0901415011011","08031-0901415037037","08031-0901415001001","08031-0901415010010","08031-0901415009009","08031-0901415008008","08031-0901415019019","08031-0901415027027","08031-0901415025025","08031-0901415017017","08031-0901415001999","08031-0901416028028","08031-0901400018000","08031-0901417061000","08059-59-012-00-012","08059-59-024-01-014","08059-59-021-01-006","08031-0901415030030","08031-0901415020020","08031-0901400029000","08031-0901400038000","08059-59-021-01-027"]
county_fips
08059
identifiers
{"wdid":"0900731"}
structure_name
HARRIMAN DITCH
score_components
{"owners":73,"parcels":78,"place_acres":196,"parcels_without_instrument":78}
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_parcel-split-allocation-risk_4292
record
D1-2020-10913507 @ water_irrigated_places
signal
signal:parcel-split-allocation-risk
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~131 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.84.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~131 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.84.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~131 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.84.0
78Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 93% in median years → 71% dry → 39% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.81.1
78Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 93% in median years → 71% dry → 39% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.81.1
78Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 93% in median years → 71% dry → 39% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.81.1
73Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~127 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.82.7
73Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac industrial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
73Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
73Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac commercial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
73Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac commercial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
73Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac commercial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
70Basin chokepoint callerHARRIMAN DITCH has put 710 decreed rights (345 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 157,512.4 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 23.5.23.5
68Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac industrial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
67Augmentation condition not verifiedHARRIMAN DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.76.7
65Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 93% in median years → 72% dry → 41% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.78.2
65Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac commercial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.94.7
64Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~111 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.77.6
64Underused water asset290.912 ac (JEFFERSON County, UNITED STATES OF AMERICA): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HARRIMAN DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
60Critical caller value-at-riskHARRIMAN DITCH's observed call reaches 129 parcels — 1,109 coverage-weighted acres, $6.0M assessed value, 65 distinct owners — through the 541 structures it has put out of priority (157,512.4 day-equivalents, most recently 2026).57.4
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~105 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.75.7
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~115 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.78.9
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~127 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.82.7
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~111 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.77.6
59Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~131 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.84.0
59Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARRIMAN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~111 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller PIONEER UNION DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 5 comparable seasons.77.6
58Underused water asset221.062 ac (JEFFERSON County, FOOTHILLS PARK & RECREATION DISTRICT): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HARRIMAN DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
58Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac industrial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.85.4
55Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10913506 (216 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARRIMAN DITCH) now spans 5 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 5 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
54Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 94% in median years → 75% dry → 48% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 46-point cliff under stress.68.4
53Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac industrial parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.79.1
53Decree-to-current-use conflict1.214 ac residential parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.77.9
52Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 93% in median years → 71% dry → 39% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.81.1
52Underused water asset134.978 ac (JEFFERSON County, JEFFERSON COUNTY): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HARRIMAN DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
52Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 93% in median years → 72% dry → 41% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.78.2
52Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10913508 (152 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARRIMAN DITCH) now spans 12 parcels held by 9 owner(s) — 12 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
52Decree-to-current-use conflict1.234 ac residential parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.76.6
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10912837 (147 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARRIMAN DITCH) now spans 4 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
51Decree-to-current-use conflict1.03 ac residential parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.75.8
51Decree-to-current-use conflict0.926 ac residential parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.75.5
50Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 94% in median years → 75% dry → 46% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 47-point cliff under stress.71.1
50Underused water asset111.421 ac (JEFFERSON County, GRANT PROPERTIES I LLLP): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HARRIMAN DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10913509 (125 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARRIMAN DITCH) now spans 5 parcels held by 4 owner(s) — 5 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
50Decree-to-current-use conflict1.56 ac residential parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.74.5
49Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 92% in median years → 70% dry → 39% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.6
49Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 92% in median years → 70% dry → 39% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.6
49Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 94% in median years → 75% dry → 48% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 46-point cliff under stress.68.4
49Decree-to-current-use conflict1.689 ac residential parcel is served by HARRIMAN DITCH, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.70.6
49Underused water asset90.624 ac (JEFFERSON County, CITY & COUNTY OF DENVER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HARRIMAN DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Drought reliability cliffHARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 94% in median years → 75% dry → 48% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 46-point cliff under stress.68.4