| 79 | Basin chokepoint caller | EMPIRE DITCH | EMPIRE DITCH has put 1891 decreed rights (41,706 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 1,512.8 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 43.5. | 43.5 | 0.92 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 79 | Drought reliability cliff | OLIGARCHY DITCH | OLIGARCHY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 36% dry → 10% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 72-point cliff under stress. | 100.0 | 0.72 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 79 | Critical call exposure | NEVADA DITCH | NEVADA DITCH (1995 priority) carries 3,825.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 88 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3075 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 97.4 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 79 | Critical call exposure | LAST CHANCE DITCH 2 | LAST CHANCE DITCH 2 (1995 priority) carries 3,827.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 88 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3077 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 97.4 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 79 | Drought reliability cliff | LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL | LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 39% dry → 27% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 56-point cliff under stress. | 84.4 | 0.72 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 79 | Season call nowcast: expected curt | BALD HILL LK 1 MIN LEVEL | BALD HILL LK 1 MIN LEVEL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~207 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons. | 100.0 | 0.70 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 79 | Critical caller value-at-risk | CACHE LA POUDRE DITCH | CACHE LA POUDRE DITCH's observed call reaches 1919 parcels — 29,966 coverage-weighted acres, $54.4M assessed value, 1155 distinct owners — through the 1 structures it has put out of priority (166,233.7 day-equivalents, most recently 2026). | 95.8 | 0.86 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | SOUTH PLATTE DITCH | SOUTH PLATTE DITCH (1997 priority) carries 3,910.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 88 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3145 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 98.7 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | CITY DITCH PL | CITY DITCH PL (1948 priority) carries 3,153.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 80 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2543 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 87.3 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | AGRICULTURAL DITCH | AGRICULTURAL DITCH (1888 priority) carries 875.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 657 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 53.1 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | POUDRE RIVER MIN FLOW | POUDRE RIVER MIN FLOW (1985 priority) carries 1,272.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 59.1 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | UNION DITCH | UNION DITCH (2012 priority) carries 3,981.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3199 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 99.7 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Drought reliability cliff | LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL | LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 42% dry → 29% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 55-point cliff under stress. | 82.5 | 0.72 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL | LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL (1875 priority) carries 751.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (197.3 day-eq). 576 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 51.3 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | BOYD FREEMAN DITCH | BOYD FREEMAN DITCH (1998 priority) carries 1,272.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 59.1 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | HILLSBOROUGH DITCH | HILLSBOROUGH DITCH (1878 priority) carries 685.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (143.9 day-eq). 517 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 50.3 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | BOYD FREEMAN DITCH | BOYD FREEMAN DITCH (1999 priority) carries 1,272.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 59.1 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Augmentation condition not verifie | GOODHUE DITCH | GOODHUE DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call. | 85.0 | 0.84 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Drought reliability cliff | HOME SUPPLY DITCH | HOME SUPPLY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 51% dry → 33% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress. | 81.5 | 0.72 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Drought reliability cliff | HANDY DITCH | HANDY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 51% dry → 33% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress. | 81.5 | 0.72 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Drought reliability cliff | GEORGE RIST DITCH | GEORGE RIST DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 51% dry → 33% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress. | 81.5 | 0.72 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Drought reliability cliff | LARIMER COUNTY DITCH | LARIMER COUNTY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 43% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress. | 81.5 | 0.72 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical caller value-at-risk | BIG T PLATTE R DITCH | BIG T PLATTE R DITCH's observed call reaches 2138 parcels — 14,089 coverage-weighted acres, $52.8M assessed value, 1234 distinct owners — through the 18 structures it has put out of priority (99,268.3 day-equivalents, most recently 2026). | 94.6 | 0.86 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | FARMERS HIGHLINE RALSTON CREEK | FARMERS HIGHLINE RALSTON CREEK (1872 priority) carries 573.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 6 senior caller(s); dominant caller BLUNN RES (434 day-eq). 656 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 48.6 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Drought reliability cliff | HARRIMAN DITCH | HARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 93% in median years → 71% dry → 39% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress. | 81.1 | 0.72 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Drought reliability cliff | HARRIMAN DITCH | HARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 93% in median years → 71% dry → 39% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress. | 81.1 | 0.72 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Drought reliability cliff | HARRIMAN DITCH | HARRIMAN DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 93% in median years → 71% dry → 39% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress. | 81.1 | 0.72 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | SCHNEIDER DITCH | SCHNEIDER DITCH (2003 priority) carries 3,936.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 89 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3164 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 99.1 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | COMMUNITY DITCH | COMMUNITY DITCH (1872 priority) carries 735.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 15 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 590 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 51.0 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Drought reliability cliff | BIG WELLMAN D SEEP HGT 6 | BIG WELLMAN D SEEP HGT 6: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 50% dry → 32% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress. | 80.8 | 0.72 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Drought reliability cliff | BIG WELLMAN D SEEP HGT 1 | BIG WELLMAN D SEEP HGT 1: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 50% dry → 32% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress. | 80.8 | 0.72 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical caller value-at-risk | HILLSBOROUGH DITCH | HILLSBOROUGH DITCH's observed call reaches 2105 parcels — 13,873 coverage-weighted acres, $52.2M assessed value, 1215 distinct owners — through the 16 structures it has put out of priority (15,741.5 day-equivalents, most recently 2026). | 92.1 | 0.86 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Augmentation condition not verifie | LARIMER CO IRR MFG D | LARIMER CO IRR MFG D: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call. | 85.0 | 0.84 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Season call nowcast: expected curt | PAWNEE DITCH | PAWNEE DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons. | 100.0 | 0.70 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Season call nowcast: expected curt | FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL | FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~159 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller CLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.5 over 5 comparable seasons. | 89.9 | 0.70 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Season call nowcast: expected curt | CROKE CANAL | CROKE CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~159 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons. | 98.9 | 0.70 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Season call nowcast: expected curt | CHURCH DITCH | CHURCH DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~159 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons. | 98.9 | 0.70 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Season call nowcast: expected curt | LOUDEN DITCH | LOUDEN DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~202 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BARNES DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons. | 100.0 | 0.70 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Season call nowcast: expected curt | LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL | LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~125 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.33 over 5 comparable seasons. | 75.9 | 0.70 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Season call nowcast: expected curt | FOSSIL CREEK INLET PT 2 | FOSSIL CREEK INLET PT 2, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons. | 82.8 | 0.70 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Season call nowcast: expected curt | BIJOU CANAL | BIJOU CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~211 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons. | 100.0 | 0.70 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | FORT COLLINS IRR CNL | FORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1873 priority) carries 859.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 663 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 52.9 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Augmentation condition not verifie | SUCCESS DITCH | SUCCESS DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call. | 85.0 | 0.84 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | RED LION SUPPLY DITCH | RED LION SUPPLY DITCH (1895 priority) carries 2,314.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 54 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 1879 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 74.7 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | HOWELL DITCH | HOWELL DITCH (2017 priority) carries 933.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 29 senior caller(s); dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH (201.1 day-eq). 691 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 54.0 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | SETTLERS DITCH | SETTLERS DITCH (1898 priority) carries 2,314.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 54 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 1879 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 74.7 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 78 | Critical call exposure | SETTLERS DITCH | SETTLERS DITCH (1897 priority) carries 2,314.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 54 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 1879 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons. | 74.7 | 0.98 | 2026-09-30 00:00:00 |
| 77 | Season call nowcast: expected curt | IDYLWILD PIPELINE | IDYLWILD PIPELINE, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~202 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BARNES DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons. | 100.0 | 0.70 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 77 | Season call nowcast: expected curt | UPPER PLATTE BEAVER CNL | UPPER PLATTE BEAVER CNL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons. | 100.0 | 0.70 | 2026-07-18 12:00:00 |
| 77 | Basin chokepoint caller | WELDON VALLEY DITCH | WELDON VALLEY DITCH has put 2317 decreed rights (60,238 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 8,842.9 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2025. Caller Power Index 51.3. | 51.3 | 0.92 | 2025-09-30 00:00:00 |