BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Critical caller value-at-risk / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_critical-caller-value-at-risk_0012

Critical caller value-at-risk

verifiedBIG T PLATTE R DITCH →

BIG T PLATTE R DITCH's observed call reaches 2138 parcels — 14,089 coverage-weighted acres, $52.8M assessed value, 1234 distinct owners — through the 18 structures it has put out of priority (99,268.3 day-equivalents, most recently 2026).

Priority
78.0
composite 0–100
Raw score
94.6
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.86
0–1
Observed
2026-09-30
00:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.66
urgency1.00
confidence0.86
freshness0.60
novelty0.70
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0400502
state
CO
county
WELD
division
1
latitude
40.346127
longitude
-104.891317
county_fips
08123
identifiers
{"wdid":"0400502"}
water_source
BIG THOMPSON RIVER
structure_name
BIG T PLATTE R DITCH
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
4
score_components
{"owners":1234,"parcels":2138,"day_equivalents":99268.3,"impaired_structures":18,"assessed_value_at_risk":52839735,"coverage_weighted_acres":14089}
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_critical-caller-value-at-risk_0012
record
0400502 @ water_structures
signal
signal:critical-caller-value-at-risk
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-09-30 00:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
79Critical call exposureBIG T PLATTE R DITCH (1876 priority) carries 544.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (143.9 day-eq). 417 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.47.9
79Augmentation condition not verifiedBIG T PLATTE R DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
75Critical call exposureBIG T PLATTE R DITCH (2005 priority) carries 1,096 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller BARNES DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 829 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.4
73Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentBIG T PLATTE R DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~118 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.5 over 6 comparable seasons.76.8
72Underused water asset486.34911006 ac (WELD County, FIVE RIVERS CATTLE FEEDING LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
70Basin chokepoint callerBIG T PLATTE R DITCH has put 695 decreed rights (11,053 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 99,268.3 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 25.5.25.5
67Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentBIG T PLATTE R DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~202 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BARNES DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
66Critical call exposureBIG T PLATTE R DITCH (2002 priority) carries 1,096 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller BARNES DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 829 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.4
66Drought reliability cliffBIG T PLATTE R DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 77% in median years → 17% dry → 6% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 71-point cliff under stress.100.0
63Drought reliability cliffBIG T PLATTE R DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 90% in median years → 64% dry → 45% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 45-point cliff under stress.67.7
57Underused water asset196.91496635 ac (WELD County, FIVE RIVERS CATTLE FEEDING LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
57Underused water asset195.97341146 ac (WELD County, RML PROPERTY INVESTORS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
55Drought reliability cliffBIG T PLATTE R DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 77% in median years → 17% dry → 6% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 71-point cliff under stress.100.0
53Underused water asset155.12772517 ac (WELD County, FIVE RIVERS CATTLE FEEDING LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
52Underused water asset134.5882152 ac (WELD County, BERNHARDT FARMS LLC (1/2 INT)): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
52Underused water asset130.65987411 ac (WELD County, DANIELS MADELINE P): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
51Underused water asset119.2391969 ac (WELD County, BERNHARDT FARMS LLC (1/2 INT)): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
50Underused water asset111.46105373 ac (WELD County, BERNHARDT DAVID LEE CONSOLIDATED TRUST (1/4 INT)): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
50Underused water asset106.48829637 ac (WELD County, KAMMERZELL VERN): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
50Underused water asset106.37726366 ac (WELD County, KAMMERZELL DOUG L): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
49Underused water asset98.62245596 ac (WELD County, LOVELAND READY MIX CONCRETE INC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
49Underused water asset91.1637063 ac (WELD County, RAPTOR MATERIALS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
49Underused water asset90.37987891 ac (WELD County, AGGREGATOR LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
49Underused water asset90.22222099 ac (WELD County, RAPTOR MATERIALS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
48Underused water asset84.34600238 ac (WELD County, SHABLE HOMESTEAD LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
48Underused water asset83.57352934 ac (WELD County, RAPTOR MATERIALS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10205363 (88 ac, CORN, served by BIG T PLATTE R DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.8
48Underused water asset78.47485211 ac (WELD County, RAPTOR MATERIALS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
48Underused water asset78.35752694 ac (WELD County, SHABLE HOMESTEAD LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
48Underused water asset77.78375695 ac (WELD County, AGGREGATOR LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
48Underused water asset75.33026173 ac (WELD County, DANIELS MADELINE P): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
47Underused water asset74.88208249 ac (WELD County, SCHNEIDER MARILYN J): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
47Underused water asset73.86583856 ac (WELD County, BERNHARDT DELBERT L SR TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10413803 (76 ac, CORN, served by BIG T PLATTE R DITCH) now spans 4 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
46Underused water asset61.77976022 ac (WELD County, PRAIRIE DOG HOLDINGS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
46Underused water asset57.90724102 ac (WELD County, KAMMERZELL EUGENE): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
46Underused water asset51.92154434 ac (WELD County, RAPTOR MATERIALS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10405585 (50 ac, CORN, served by BIG T PLATTE R DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.0
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10405362 (48 ac, CORN, served by BIG T PLATTE R DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.0
45Underused water asset41.44090191 ac (WELD County, KAMMERZELL DANIEL): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
45Underused water asset40.8404475 ac (WELD County, SW SPRUCE MOUNTAIN LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10411215 (40 ac, CORN, served by BIG T PLATTE R DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.97.8
45Underused water asset39.00200206 ac (WELD County, DANIELS MADELINE P): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
45Underused water asset38.71899497 ac (WELD County, AGGREGATOR LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10411216 (38 ac, CORN, served by BIG T PLATTE R DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.8
45Underused water asset37.51888205 ac (WELD County, LEMON ROBERT L): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
45Underused water asset36.87093295 ac (WELD County, SHABLE HOMESTEAD LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10205367 (34 ac, CORN, served by BIG T PLATTE R DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.97.7
44Underused water asset34.06608077 ac (WELD County, COULSON RICHARD L): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BIG T PLATTE R DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.3
44Decree-to-current-use conflict57.90724102 ac commercial parcel is served by BIG T PLATTE R DITCH, whose decree permits only [1AR]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.63.6