BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Water-backed land assemblage / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_water-backed-assemblage_0100

Water-backed land assemblage

candidateLARIMER COUNTY DITCH

THORNTON CITY OF holds 136 parcels totaling 13,766 ac (assessed $3.2M) under LARIMER COUNTY DITCH — a water-backed assemblage on one system (supply quality 0.79). assessor roll from annual OIT data call; ownership may be up to 12 months stale.

Priority
53.6
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.72
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.41
urgency0.50
confidence0.72
freshness0.50
novelty0.70
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0300911
state
CO
county
WELD
parcel_ids
["08123-070716000054","08123-070720000015","08123-070728000020","08123-070704000034","08123-070704000036","08123-070704100004","08123-070704100003","08123-070507000046","08123-055133000005","08069-8713000902","08069-8827000905","08123-055134000029","08123-055134000010","08123-055127000020","08069-8822000902","08069-8822000901","08069-8822000903","08123-070717400069","08123-070717400070","08123-070716000053","08123-070716000029","08123-070906000021","08123-070701000048","08123-070906000034","08123-070907000032","08123-055334200029","08123-055334000037","08123-055127000021","08123-070710000041","08123-070721000040","08123-070721000060","08123-070906000039","08123-070907100039","08123-070918000002","08123-070918000040","08123-070918000004","08123-070918000003","08123-070701000034","08123-070701000057","08123-070701000045","08123-070701000044","08123-070713000057","08123-070518000042","08123-070519000036","08123-070903100002","08123-055328300028","08123-055328300029","08123-070520100003","08123-055131000017","08123-070711000005","08123-070701000020","08123-070530301002","08123-070530401003","08123-070722000011","08123-070708300002","08123-070708000040","08123-070714100018","08123-070713000041","08123-070714400017","08123-055132200004","08123-055132100002","08123-070724000021","08123-070724000022","08123-055326300003","08123-070702000055","08123-070719000057","08123-070709000027","08123-070703000039","08123-070703000031","08123-070714200042","08123-070714000001","08123-055108000013","08123-070709000022","08123-055334400002","08123-055334400003","08123-070702000040","08123-070702000037","08123-070721100009","08123-055119000004","08123-070717200008","08123-070907000014","08123-070908000013","08123-070702000031","08123-070713000051","08123-070713000058","08123-070728000001","08123-070728000002","08123-070705000020","08123-070729000026","08123-070722000062","08123-070512000010","08123-070511000012","08123-070717000060","08123-070729000021","08123-055131000010","08123-070730000028","08123-070515200021","08069-8819000950","08123-070719200009","08069-8822110906","08123-070727000031","08123-055115000015","08123-070715100021","08123-070715200020","08123-070715000058","08123-070715000020","08123-070712000050","08123-070907200002","08123-070712200002","08123-055131000011","08123-070515000045","08123-070515000042","08123-070721000047","08123-070721000046","08123-055333400002","08123-055336000035","08123-055334100001","08123-070907300017","08123-070907300016","08123-070907000037","08123-070905000028","08123-070521200003","08123-055335000007","08123-070702000047","08123-070702000046","08123-070730000003","08123-055126300021","08123-055132000012","08123-070905000025","08123-055327000045","08123-070718000030","08123-070718000061","08123-070711300008","08123-070711000006","08123-070720000010","08069-8703400927"]
county_fips
08123
identifiers
{"wdid":"0300911"}
staleness_note
assessor roll from annual OIT data call; ownership may be up to 12 months stale
structure_name
LARIMER COUNTY DITCH
assemblage_owner
THORNTON CITY OF
assessor_vintage
2026-01-01
score_components
{"acres":13766,"parcels":136,"water_quality":0.79,"assessed_value":3244610}
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_water-backed-assemblage_0100
record
city-of-thornton|0300911 @ water_parcels
signal
signal:water-backed-assemblage
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1881 priority) carries 944.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL (200.6 day-eq). 724 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.54.2
95Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1914 priority) carries 1,235.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 914 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.5
95Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1986 priority) carries 1,250.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 914 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
95Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1992 priority) carries 1,250.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 914 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLARIMER COUNTY DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.82.8
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLARIMER COUNTY DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.82.8
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLARIMER COUNTY DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.82.8
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLARIMER COUNTY DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~151 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.67 over 6 comparable seasons.90.4
80Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.6
80Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
80Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
78Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 43% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.81.5
77Basin chokepoint callerLARIMER COUNTY DITCH has put 1656 decreed rights (39,317 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 29,851.2 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 41.3.41.3
72Underused water asset427.31903195 ac (WELD County, WRCC INC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LARIMER COUNTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
72Underused water asset628.39668184 ac (WELD County, ANTHOLZ LLLP): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LARIMER COUNTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
72Underused water asset554.0916638 ac (WELD County, LONGS PEAK DAIRY LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LARIMER COUNTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
72Underused water asset565.94372955 ac (WELD County, BROWN DUANE): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LARIMER COUNTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
72Underused water asset644.75010149 ac (WELD County, THORNTON CITY OF): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LARIMER COUNTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
67Underused water asset335.99942322 ac (WELD County, THORNTON CITY OF): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LARIMER COUNTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1878 priority) carries 898.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (197.3 day-eq). 693 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Augmentation condition not verifiedLARIMER COUNTY DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.75.8
66Underused water asset320.73187376 ac (WELD County, THORNTON CITY OF): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LARIMER COUNTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1875 priority) carries 898.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (197.3 day-eq). 693 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1873 priority) carries 858.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 652 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.9
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1871 priority) carries 711.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 558 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.7
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1906 priority) carries 1,250.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 914 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1986 priority) carries 1,250.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 914 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1880 priority) carries 1,236.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 30 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 914 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.5
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1992 priority) carries 1,250.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 914 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1873 priority) carries 856 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 652 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.8
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1879 priority) carries 1,236.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 30 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 914 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.5
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1873 priority) carries 847.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 20 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 647 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.7
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1873 priority) carries 1,236.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 30 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 914 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.5
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1870 priority) carries 605.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 15 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 490 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.49.1
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1872 priority) carries 1,236.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 30 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 914 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.5
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1872 priority) carries 810.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 19 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 621 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1908 priority) carries 1,232.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 27 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 914 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.5
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1893 priority) carries 1,191.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 23 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 890 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.57.9
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1880 priority) carries 944.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL (200.6 day-eq). 724 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.54.2
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1872 priority) carries 808.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 19 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 621 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.1
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (2017 priority) carries 1,250.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 914 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (2011 priority) carries 1,250.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 914 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (2003 priority) carries 1,250.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 914 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (2000 priority) carries 1,250.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 914 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1879 priority) carries 941.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL (200.6 day-eq). 724 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.54.1
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1871 priority) carries 804.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 18 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 614 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.1
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY DITCH (1873 priority) carries 847.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 20 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 647 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.7
65Underused water asset315.12462146 ac (WELD County, THORNTON CITY OF): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LARIMER COUNTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
65Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10108965 (383 ac, ALFALFA, served by LARIMER COUNTY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.95.7
65Underused water asset311.53068754 ac (WELD County, DESERET FARMS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LARIMER COUNTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8