BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Parcel-split allocation risk / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_parcel-split-allocation-risk_4281

Parcel-split allocation risk

verifiedTAYLOR GILL DITCH →

Irrigated place D1-2020-10313474 (74 ac, ALFALFA, served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH) now spans 10 parcels held by 10 owner(s) — 10 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.

Priority
47.0
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.80
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.15
urgency0.50
confidence0.80
freshness0.50
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0301029
state
CO
county
LARIMER
owners
["ROBERTS JAMES","HYDE LIVING TRUST","WATT RALPH E","KINTZLEY BENJAMIN F/REBECCA M","SEAWORTH WILLIAM O","MCANDREW STEELE B/TERRILEE A","STONER S EDWARD","ROBERTS JAMES D","KINTZLEY CHALON/LEAH","MCANDREW STEELE B"]
latitude
40.623866
place_id
D1-2020-10313474
longitude
-105.1363
parcel_ids
["08069-9832110001","08069-9832100005","08069-9832110002","08069-9833000005","08069-9833000032","08069-9833000019","08069-9833000037","08069-9833000024","08069-9833000006","08069-9833000018"]
county_fips
08069
identifiers
{"wdid":"0301029"}
structure_name
TAYLOR GILL DITCH
score_components
{"owners":10,"parcels":10,"place_acres":74,"parcels_without_instrument":10}
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_parcel-split-allocation-risk_4281
record
D1-2020-10313474 @ water_irrigated_places
signal
signal:parcel-split-allocation-risk
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
84Critical caller value-at-riskTAYLOR GILL DITCH's observed call reaches 4730 parcels — 48,304 coverage-weighted acres, $80.4M assessed value, 2745 distinct owners — through the 23 structures it has put out of priority (161,362.5 day-equivalents, most recently 2025).100.0
72Basin chokepoint callerTAYLOR GILL DITCH has put 1655 decreed rights (41,155 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 161,362.5 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2025. Caller Power Index 42.7.42.7
69Critical call exposureTAYLOR GILL DITCH (1992 priority) carries 1,175.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 830 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.57.6
66Critical call exposureTAYLOR GILL DITCH (1914 priority) carries 1,159.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 830 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.57.4
66Critical call exposureTAYLOR GILL DITCH (1914 priority) carries 1,159.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 830 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.57.4
66Critical call exposureTAYLOR GILL DITCH (1881 priority) carries 857.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL (200.6 day-eq). 631 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.9
66Critical call exposureTAYLOR GILL DITCH (1873 priority) carries 760.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 20 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 554 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.4
66Critical call exposureTAYLOR GILL DITCH (1878 priority) carries 811.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (197.3 day-eq). 600 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
66Critical call exposureTAYLOR GILL DITCH (2003 priority) carries 1,175.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 830 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.57.6
61Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentTAYLOR GILL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.82.8
55Drought reliability cliffTAYLOR GILL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
53Augmentation condition not verifiedTAYLOR GILL DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedTAYLOR GILL DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
51Drought reliability cliffTAYLOR GILL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.6
51Drought reliability cliffTAYLOR GILL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.6
51Drought reliability cliffTAYLOR GILL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
50Drought reliability cliffTAYLOR GILL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 43% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.81.5
49Drought reliability cliffTAYLOR GILL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 85% in median years → 49% dry → 33% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.78.2
48Drought reliability cliffTAYLOR GILL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 52% dry → 37% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 49-point cliff under stress.73.5
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac commercial parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac commercial parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
42Underused water assetnull ac (LARIMER County, MCNALLY LLOYD R): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water assetnull ac (LARIMER County, VINEY KEVIN D): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water assetnull ac (LARIMER County, KINTZLEY CHALON/LEAH): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water assetnull ac (LARIMER County, KINTZLEY BENJAMIN F/REBECCA M): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water assetnull ac (LARIMER County, KINTZLEY RAYMOND PERRY): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water assetnull ac (LARIMER County, MCANDREW STEELE B): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water assetnull ac (LARIMER County, HULING MICHAEL T): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water assetnull ac (LARIMER County, BOYTS ERIC L): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8