BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances

Overview / Signals / Decree-to-current-use conflict / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_decree-use-conflict_5888

Decree-to-current-use conflict

verifiedTAYLOR GILL DITCH →

null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.

Priority

42.9

composite 0–100

Raw score

65.1

detector output 0–100

Confidence

0.82

0–1

Observed

2026-07-18

12:00:00

Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10

impact0.00

urgency0.50

confidence0.82

freshness0.50

novelty0.65

Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried

wdid: 0301029
state: CO
county: LARIMER
acreage: null
latitude: 40.624322
right_id: 0301029-4443.00000
longitude: -105.129577
parcel_id: 08069-9833000019
county_fips: 08069
identifiers: {"wdid":"0301029","parcel_id":"08069-9833000019"}
parcel_owner: MCANDREW STEELE B/TERRILEE A
situs_address: 2817 W COUNTY ROAD 54G
assessed_value: null
land_use_class: residential
staleness_note: assessor roll from annual OIT data call; ownership may be up to 12 months stale
assessor_vintage: 2026-01-01
score_components: {"parcel_use":"residential","permitted_uses":["012345678ACWX"],"decree_confidence":0.850000023841858}

Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from

instance id: siginst_ep_wr_20260718_decree-use-conflict_5888
record: 08069-9833000019 @ water_parcels
signal: signal:decree-use-conflict
definition: v1
genome: v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch: ep_wr_20260718
lineage status: resolved
detected: 2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from: 2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs: ["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]

Co-firing signalsother detections on this record

Pri	Signal	Detail	Score
84	Critical caller value-at-risk	TAYLOR GILL DITCH's observed call reaches 4730 parcels — 48,304 coverage-weighted acres, $80.4M assessed value, 2745 distinct owners — through the 23 structures it has put out of priority (161,362.5 day-equivalents, most recently 2025).	100.0
72	Basin chokepoint caller	TAYLOR GILL DITCH has put 1655 decreed rights (41,155 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 161,362.5 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2025. Caller Power Index 42.7.	42.7
69	Critical call exposure	TAYLOR GILL DITCH (1992 priority) carries 1,175.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 830 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.	57.6
66	Critical call exposure	TAYLOR GILL DITCH (1881 priority) carries 857.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL (200.6 day-eq). 631 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.	52.9
66	Critical call exposure	TAYLOR GILL DITCH (1914 priority) carries 1,159.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 830 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.	57.4
66	Critical call exposure	TAYLOR GILL DITCH (1914 priority) carries 1,159.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 830 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.	57.4
66	Critical call exposure	TAYLOR GILL DITCH (2003 priority) carries 1,175.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 830 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.	57.6
66	Critical call exposure	TAYLOR GILL DITCH (1873 priority) carries 760.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 20 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 554 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.	51.4
66	Critical call exposure	TAYLOR GILL DITCH (1878 priority) carries 811.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (197.3 day-eq). 600 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.	52.2
61	Season call nowcast: expected curtailment	TAYLOR GILL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.	82.8
55	Drought reliability cliff	TAYLOR GILL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.	88.3
53	Augmentation condition not verified	TAYLOR GILL DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.	59.5
53	Augmentation condition not verified	TAYLOR GILL DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.	59.5
51	Drought reliability cliff	TAYLOR GILL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.	89.6
51	Drought reliability cliff	TAYLOR GILL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.	89.6
51	Drought reliability cliff	TAYLOR GILL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.	88.3
50	Drought reliability cliff	TAYLOR GILL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 43% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.	81.5
49	Drought reliability cliff	TAYLOR GILL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 85% in median years → 49% dry → 33% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.	78.2
48	Drought reliability cliff	TAYLOR GILL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 52% dry → 37% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 49-point cliff under stress.	73.5
47	Parcel-split allocation risk	Irrigated place D1-2020-10313474 (74 ac, ALFALFA, served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH) now spans 10 parcels held by 10 owner(s) — 10 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.	100.0
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac commercial parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac commercial parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
43	Decree-to-current-use conflict	null ac residential parcel is served by TAYLOR GILL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012345678ACWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.	65.1
42	Underused water asset	null ac (LARIMER County, MCNALLY LLOYD R): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.	77.8
42	Underused water asset	null ac (LARIMER County, VINEY KEVIN D): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.	77.8
42	Underused water asset	null ac (LARIMER County, KINTZLEY CHALON/LEAH): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.	77.8
42	Underused water asset	null ac (LARIMER County, KINTZLEY BENJAMIN F/REBECCA M): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.	77.8
42	Underused water asset	null ac (LARIMER County, KINTZLEY RAYMOND PERRY): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.	77.8
42	Underused water asset	null ac (LARIMER County, MCANDREW STEELE B): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.	77.8
42	Underused water asset	null ac (LARIMER County, HULING MICHAEL T): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.	77.8
42	Underused water asset	null ac (LARIMER County, BOYTS ERIC L): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on TAYLOR GILL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.	77.8