Overview / Signals / Drought reliability cliff / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_drought-reliability-cliff_3840
AGRICULTURAL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 47% dry → 27% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 58-point cliff under stress.
Priority
65.9
composite 0–100
Raw score
87.2
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.72
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
- wdid
- 0700502
- state
- CO
- county
- JEFFERSON
- admin_no
- 16718.13966
- division
- 1
- latitude
- 39.757806
- right_id
- 0700502-16718.13966
- longitude
- -105.219808
- county_fips
- 08059
- identifiers
- {"wdid":"0700502"}
- decreed_uses
- 012345678AWX
- legal_status
- Absolute
- water_source
- CLEAR CREEK
- seniority_rank
- 7223
- structure_name
- AGRICULTURAL DITCH
- structure_type
- DITCH
- water_district
- 7
- decreed_rate_cfs
- 55
- score_components
- {"method":"empirical call replay by intensity-classed years","cliff_points":58,"years_observed":37,"reliability_dry":0.47,"reliability_median":0.86,"reliability_severe":0.27}
- decreed_volume_af
- null
- appropriation_date
- 1888-03-27
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
- instance id
- siginst_ep_wr_20260718_drought-reliability-cliff_3840
- record
- 0700502-16718.13966 @ water_rights
- signal
- signal:drought-reliability-cliff
- definition
- v1
- genome
- v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
- epoch
- ep_wr_20260718
- lineage status
- resolved
- detected
- 2026-07-18 12:00:00
- valid from
- 2026-07-18 12:00:00
- source refs
- ["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record