BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_1051

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateAGRICULTURAL DITCH

AGRICULTURAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~155 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
66.8
composite 0–100
Raw score
97.6
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.38
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0700502
state
CO
county
JEFFERSON
admin_no
16718.12053
division
1
latitude
39.757806
right_id
0700502-16718.12053
longitude
-105.219808
county_fips
08059
identifiers
{"wdid":"0700502"}
decreed_uses
0
legal_status
Absolute
water_source
CLEAR CREEK
seniority_rank
7149
structure_name
AGRICULTURAL DITCH
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
7
decreed_rate_cfs
38.4
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":155}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1882-12-31
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_1051
record
0700502-16718.12053 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
90Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1874 priority) carries 872.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (368.5 day-eq). 652 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
90Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1892 priority) carries 875.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 657 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentAGRICULTURAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~155 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.97.6
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentAGRICULTURAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~154 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.97.3
79Drought reliability cliffAGRICULTURAL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 47% dry → 27% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 58-point cliff under stress.87.2
79Augmentation condition not verifiedAGRICULTURAL DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
79Drought reliability cliffAGRICULTURAL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 48% dry → 28% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 58-point cliff under stress.86.6
78Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1888 priority) carries 875.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 657 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
77Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1888 priority) carries 875.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 657 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
77Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1883 priority) carries 873 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (368.5 day-eq). 652 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
75Basin chokepoint callerAGRICULTURAL DITCH has put 1365 decreed rights (12,190 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 81,324 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 31.3.31.3
74Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1888 priority) carries 875.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 657 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
74Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1882 priority) carries 875.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 657 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
72Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentAGRICULTURAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~155 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.97.6
71Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1991 priority) carries 902.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 672 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
71Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1876 priority) carries 875.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 657 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
70Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentAGRICULTURAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~155 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.97.6
70Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentAGRICULTURAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~154 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.97.3
69Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1889 priority) carries 875.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 657 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
68Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by AGRICULTURAL DITCH, whose decree permits only [123456789A]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
68Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1900 priority) carries 875.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 657 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
67Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1996 priority) carries 902.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 672 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
67Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1877 priority) carries 875.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 657 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
67Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentAGRICULTURAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~155 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.97.6
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1955 priority) carries 903.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 12 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 672 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Drought reliability cliffAGRICULTURAL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 47% dry → 27% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 58-point cliff under stress.87.2
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1872 priority) carries 686.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (181.8 day-eq). 509 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.3
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1886 priority) carries 875.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 657 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1871 priority) carries 679.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 9 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (181.8 day-eq). 509 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.2
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1877 priority) carries 875.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 657 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1870 priority) carries 671.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 9 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (173.8 day-eq). 503 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.1
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (2009 priority) carries 903.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 12 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 672 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1865 priority) carries 655.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 8 senior caller(s); dominant caller CLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (168.4 day-eq). 492 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.49.8
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1872 priority) carries 875.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 657 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1993 priority) carries 902.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 672 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1895 priority) carries 875.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 657 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1886 priority) carries 873 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (368.5 day-eq). 652 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1989 priority) carries 902.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 672 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1988 priority) carries 902.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 672 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1865 priority) carries 644.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 8 senior caller(s); dominant caller CLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (168.4 day-eq). 484 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.49.7
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1985 priority) carries 902.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 672 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1993 priority) carries 902.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 672 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1937 priority) carries 902.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 672 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1987 priority) carries 902.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 672 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1881 priority) carries 873 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (368.5 day-eq). 652 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1999 priority) carries 903.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 12 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 672 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1905 priority) carries 902.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 672 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1904 priority) carries 902.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 672 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1878 priority) carries 873 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (368.5 day-eq). 652 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1
66Critical call exposureAGRICULTURAL DITCH (1902 priority) carries 875.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 657 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.1