BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0989

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateGOODHUE DITCH →

GOODHUE DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~139 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.

Priority
80.8
composite 0–100
Raw score
74.5
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.85
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0600650
state
CO
county
BOULDER
admin_no
8553
division
1
latitude
39.951053
right_id
0600650-8553.00000
longitude
-105.242118
county_fips
08013
identifiers
{"wdid":"0600650"}
decreed_uses
1234568QW
legal_status
Absolute
water_source
SOUTH BOULDER CREEK
seniority_rank
3610
structure_name
GOODHUE DITCH
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
6
decreed_rate_cfs
85.07
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH","p_call_by_jun15":0,"comparable_seasons":5,"expected_curtailment_days":139}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1873-06-01
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0989
record
0600650-8553.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
87Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1933 priority) carries 1,067.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 25 senior caller(s); dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH (142.6 day-eq). 818 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.0
86Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1873 priority) carries 740.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 592 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.1
82Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentGOODHUE DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~185 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
78Augmentation condition not verifiedGOODHUE DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
77Drought reliability cliffGOODHUE DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 73% in median years → 22% dry → 13% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.4
73Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1915 priority) carries 912.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 22 senior caller(s); dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH (142.6 day-eq). 720 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.7
72Drought reliability cliffGOODHUE DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 48% dry → 35% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 51-point cliff under stress.76.1
71Water-backed land assemblageCOUNTY OF BOULDER holds 16 parcels totaling 1,194 ac (assessed $43.5M) under GOODHUE DITCH — a water-backed assemblage on one system (supply quality 0.79). assessor roll from annual OIT data call; ownership may be up to 12 months stale.100.0
71Water-backed land assemblageCOUNTY OF BOULDER ET AL holds 8 parcels totaling 582 ac (assessed $9.6M) under GOODHUE DITCH — a water-backed assemblage on one system (supply quality 0.79). assessor roll from annual OIT data call; ownership may be up to 12 months stale.100.0
71Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1873 priority) carries 777.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
68Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1884 priority) carries 777.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
68Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1897 priority) carries 777.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
68Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1906 priority) carries 777.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
68Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1881 priority) carries 777.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
67Augmentation condition not verifiedGOODHUE DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.77.5
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1892 priority) carries 768.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.5
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1866 priority) carries 689.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 534 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.3
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1884 priority) carries 741.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 594 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.1
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1881 priority) carries 741.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 594 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.1
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1866 priority) carries 682.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 533 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.2
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1990 priority) carries 1,067.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 25 senior caller(s); dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH (142.6 day-eq). 818 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.0
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1872 priority) carries 703.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 14 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 546 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.6
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1870 priority) carries 701.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 14 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 546 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.5
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1865 priority) carries 581.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 457 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.7
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1870 priority) carries 701.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 14 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 546 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.5
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1865 priority) carries 564.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 443 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.5
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1997 priority) carries 1,067.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 25 senior caller(s); dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH (142.6 day-eq). 818 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.0
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1985 priority) carries 1,067.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 25 senior caller(s); dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH (142.6 day-eq). 818 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.0
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1897 priority) carries 769 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.5
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1906 priority) carries 897.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 19 senior caller(s); dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH (142.6 day-eq). 718 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1980 priority) carries 1,067.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 25 senior caller(s); dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH (142.6 day-eq). 818 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.0
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1866 priority) carries 689.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 534 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.3
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1897 priority) carries 777.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1892 priority) carries 777.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1902 priority) carries 777.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
66Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1891 priority) carries 777.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
65Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1902 priority) carries 777.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
65Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1891 priority) carries 777.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
65Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1870 priority) carries 777.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
65Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentGOODHUE DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~180 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
65Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1900 priority) carries 777.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
65Critical call exposureGOODHUE DITCH (1888 priority) carries 777.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
63Underused water asset279.719 ac (BOULDER County, COUNTY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on GOODHUE DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
62Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentGOODHUE DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~145 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.76.4
62Drought reliability cliffGOODHUE DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 34% dry → 16% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 66-point cliff under stress.98.7
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentGOODHUE DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~145 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.76.4
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentGOODHUE DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~145 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.76.4
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentGOODHUE DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~145 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.76.4
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentGOODHUE DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~145 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.76.4
54Drought reliability cliffGOODHUE DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 42% dry → 32% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.77.4