BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Critical call exposure / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-exposure-critical_1775

Critical call exposure

verifiedNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH →

NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (2008 priority) carries 1,075.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.

Priority
65.1
composite 0–100
Raw score
56.1
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.98
0–1
Observed
2026-09-30
00:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.02
urgency1.00
confidence0.98
freshness1.00
novelty0.50
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0300929
state
CO
county
LARIMER
admin_no
57943
division
1
latitude
40.501761
right_id
0300929-57943.00000
longitude
-104.966847
county_fips
08069
identifiers
{"wdid":"0300929"}
decreed_uses
A
legal_status
Conditional
water_source
CACHE LA POUDRE RIVER
seniority_rank
48721
structure_name
NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
3
decreed_rate_cfs
2
score_components
{"callers":32,"recency":1,"exposure_depth":0.27,"day_equivalents":1075.4,"dominant_caller":"OGILVY DITCH","season_days_5yr":800}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
2008-08-22
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-exposure-critical_1775
record
0300929-57943.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-exposure-critical
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-09-30 00:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (1874 priority) carries 700.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 556 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.5
95Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (1871 priority) carries 617 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 18 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 502 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.49.3
95Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (2002 priority) carries 1,075.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.1
95Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (1877 priority) carries 711.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 570 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.7
92Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (1870 priority) carries 616.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 502 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.49.3
89Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (2001 priority) carries 1,075.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.1
88Critical caller value-at-riskNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH's observed call reaches 4838 parcels — 49,708 coverage-weighted acres, $81.2M assessed value, 2835 distinct owners — through the 42 structures it has put out of priority (277,422.3 day-equivalents, most recently 2026).100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~138 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.33 over 5 comparable seasons.80.1
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~114 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.33 over 5 comparable seasons.72.4
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.82.8
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~100 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.33 over 5 comparable seasons.67.9
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~143 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.33 over 5 comparable seasons.81.7
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.82.8
81Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (1974 priority) carries 1,075.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.1
80Drought reliability cliffNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
79Augmentation condition not verifiedNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
79Augmentation condition not verifiedNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
79Drought reliability cliffNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
77Drought reliability cliffNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 85% in median years → 49% dry → 33% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.78.2
77Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (1986 priority) carries 1,075.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.1
77Drought reliability cliffNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 51% dry → 35% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 51-point cliff under stress.75.8
76Basin chokepoint callerNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH has put 1447 decreed rights (39,426 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 277,422.3 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 44.4.44.4
75Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.82.8
73Decree-to-current-use conflict22.06714333 ac commercial parcel is served by NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH, whose decree permits only [2]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.88.3
73Decree-to-current-use conflict53.34140005 ac commercial parcel is served by NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH, whose decree permits only [2]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.88.3
73Decree-to-current-use conflict176.70040203 ac commercial parcel is served by NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH, whose decree permits only [2]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.89.2
73Decree-to-current-use conflict6.54746477 ac industrial parcel is served by NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH, whose decree permits only [2]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
72Underused water asset599.2960858 ac (WELD County, D & D BASHOR FARMS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
72Underused water asset1087.19240166 ac (WELD County, GREELEY WELD COUNTY AIRPORT AUTHORITY): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
72Underused water asset1029.55754109 ac (WELD County, NEW CACHE LA POUDRE IRR CO): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
72Underused water asset550.25353214 ac (WELD County, WELLS RANCH): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
70Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.82.8
70Decree-to-current-use conflict17.0933641 ac industrial parcel is served by NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH, whose decree permits only [2]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.87.9
70Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (2019 priority) carries 1,075.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.1
70Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (2017 priority) carries 1,075.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.1
70Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (2013 priority) carries 1,075.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.1
69Drought reliability cliffNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
68Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (2008 priority) carries 1,075.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.1
67Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (2014 priority) carries 1,075.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.1
66Decree-to-current-use conflict28.45841101 ac commercial parcel is served by NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH, whose decree permits only [2]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.88.1
66Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (1986 priority) carries 1,075.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.1
66Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (1914 priority) carries 1,060.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.55.9
66Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (2018 priority) carries 1,075.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.1
66Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (2014 priority) carries 1,075.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.1
66Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (1881 priority) carries 758 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL (200.6 day-eq). 601 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.4
66Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (1878 priority) carries 711.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 570 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.7
66Critical call exposureNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (1873 priority) carries 688.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 20 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 551 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.3
65Underused water asset314.88435863 ac (WELD County, MCDANIEL KENT J): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
65Drought reliability cliffNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
61Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentNEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.82.8