BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Basin chokepoint caller / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_basin-chokepoint-caller_0070

Basin chokepoint caller

verifiedCACHE LA POUDRE RESERVOIR

CACHE LA POUDRE RESERVOIR has put 3086 decreed rights (89,696 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 8,580.3 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2025. Caller Power Index 67.2.

Priority
83.2
composite 0–100
Raw score
67.2
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.92
0–1
Observed
2025-09-30
00:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.79
urgency0.88
confidence0.92
freshness0.88
novelty0.60
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0303775
state
CO
county
LARIMER
division
1
latitude
40.549056
longitude
-104.959855
county_fips
08069
identifiers
{"wdid":"0303775"}
water_source
CACHE LA POUDRE RIVER
structure_name
CACHE LA POUDRE RESERVOIR
structure_type
RESERVOIR
water_district
3
score_components
{"depth":0.01,"breadth":0.79,"recency":0.88,"impaired_cfs":89696,"decreed_volume":0.99,"day_equivalents":8580.3,"impaired_owners":0,"impaired_rights":3086}
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_basin-chokepoint-caller_0070
record
0303775 @ water_structures
signal
signal:basin-chokepoint-caller
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2025-09-30 00:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
66Critical call exposureCACHE LA POUDRE RESERVOIR (1923 priority) carries 1,259.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 31 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.9
66Critical call exposureCACHE LA POUDRE RESERVOIR (1892 priority) carries 1,213.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 24 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 910 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.2
66Critical call exposureCACHE LA POUDRE RESERVOIR (1902 priority) carries 1,240.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 27 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 915 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.6
66Critical call exposureCACHE LA POUDRE RESERVOIR (2014 priority) carries 1,266.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.0
58Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentCACHE LA POUDRE RESERVOIR, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~160 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.81.2
58Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentCACHE LA POUDRE RESERVOIR, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~154 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.79.3
58Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentCACHE LA POUDRE RESERVOIR, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.82.8
53Augmentation condition not verifiedCACHE LA POUDRE RESERVOIR: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
51Drought reliability cliffCACHE LA POUDRE RESERVOIR: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.89.0
51Drought reliability cliffCACHE LA POUDRE RESERVOIR: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
51Drought reliability cliffCACHE LA POUDRE RESERVOIR: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 36% dry → 25% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 58-point cliff under stress.87.6
50Drought reliability cliffCACHE LA POUDRE RESERVOIR: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 41% dry → 28% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 56-point cliff under stress.83.6