BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Water-secured development parcel / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_water-secured-development-parcel_0649

Water-secured development parcel

candidateGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL →

44.05384518 ac res vacant parcel (WELD County, assessed $6k, p8 $/ac for its class) served by GREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL — water quality 0.75, physical service only — entitlement unverified. Water-secured development-ready ground.

Priority
35.8
composite 0–100
Raw score
71.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.75
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.00
urgency0.60
confidence0.30
freshness0.55
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0305795
state
CO
county
WELD
acreage
44.05384518
latitude
40.424446
longitude
-104.667668
parcel_id
08123-096104405001
county_fips
08123
identifiers
{"wdid":"0305795","parcel_id":"08123-096104405001"}
parcel_owner
OGILVY IRRIGATING AND LAND COMPANY (75% INT)
situs_address
null
assessed_value
6070
land_use_class
res_vacant
staleness_note
assessor roll from annual OIT data call; ownership may be up to 12 months stale
structure_name
GREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL
assessor_vintage
2026-01-01
score_components
{"posture":"vacant","conveyance":null,"link_sub_type":"headgate_on_parcel","water_quality":0.75,"link_confidence":0.800000011920929,"value_percentile":0.08,"entitlement_status":"none","reliability_median":0.94}
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_water-secured-development-parcel_0649
record
08123-096104405001 @ water_parcels
signal
signal:water-secured-development-parcel
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
79Augmentation condition not verifiedGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
72Critical call exposureGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL (1999 priority) carries 1,272.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.1
66Critical call exposureGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL (1873 priority) carries 866.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 22 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 663 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.0
66Critical call exposureGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL (1999 priority) carries 1,272.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.1
66Critical call exposureGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL (1871 priority) carries 810.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 19 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 621 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
66Critical call exposureGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL (1872 priority) carries 820.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 20 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 632 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.3
64Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.82.8
59Drought reliability cliffGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
53Augmentation condition not verifiedGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
51Drought reliability cliffGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
48Drought reliability cliffGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 51% dry → 35% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 51-point cliff under stress.76.6
47Drought reliability cliffGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 55% dry → 41% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 46-point cliff under stress.69.4
47Drought reliability cliffGREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 54% dry → 41% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 46-point cliff under stress.69.0
43Decree-to-current-use conflict44.05384518 ac res vacant parcel is served by GREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.62.5
43Decree-to-current-use conflict9.06517082 ac res vacant parcel is served by GREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL, whose decree permits only [2X]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.62.4
36Water-secured development parcel9.06517082 ac res vacant parcel (WELD County, assessed $0k, p0 $/ac for its class) served by GREELEY E 8TH ST GALLERY WL — water quality 0.75, physical service only — entitlement unverified. Water-secured development-ready ground.71.0