BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Water-secured development parcel / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_water-secured-development-parcel_0010

Water-secured development parcel

candidateHOME SUPPLY DITCH →

1.10426596 ac res vacant parcel (WELD County, assessed $191k, p93 $/ac for its class) served by HOME SUPPLY DITCH — water quality 0.79, physical service only — entitlement unverified. Water-secured development-ready ground.

Priority
39.7
composite 0–100
Raw score
74.8
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.75
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.10
urgency0.60
confidence0.36
freshness0.55
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0400524
state
CO
county
WELD
acreage
1.10426596
latitude
40.334998
longitude
-104.966
parcel_id
08123-106111114013
county_fips
08123
identifiers
{"wdid":"0400524","parcel_id":"08123-106111114013"}
parcel_owner
LEDGE ROCK CENTER LLC
situs_address
4250 CARROLL LN JOHNSTOWN
assessed_value
191160
land_use_class
res_vacant
staleness_note
assessor roll from annual OIT data call; ownership may be up to 12 months stale
structure_name
HOME SUPPLY DITCH
assessor_vintage
2026-01-01
score_components
{"posture":"vacant","conveyance":null,"link_sub_type":"irrigated_overlap","water_quality":0.79,"link_confidence":0.949999988079071,"value_percentile":0.93,"entitlement_status":"none","reliability_median":1}
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_water-secured-development-parcel_0010
record
08123-106111114013 @ water_parcels
signal
signal:water-secured-development-parcel
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1907 priority) carries 1,008.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 27 senior caller(s); dominant caller BARNES DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 757 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.55.1
95Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1881 priority) carries 718.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 18 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.8 day-eq). 547 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.8
95Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1881 priority) carries 688.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.8 day-eq). 511 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.3
95Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1881 priority) carries 677.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.8 day-eq). 505 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.2
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHOME SUPPLY DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~136 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.5 over 6 comparable seasons.82.5
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHOME SUPPLY DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~198 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BARNES DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHOME SUPPLY DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~127 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.5 over 6 comparable seasons.79.6
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHOME SUPPLY DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~144 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.5 over 6 comparable seasons.85.1
84Drought reliability cliffHOME SUPPLY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 27% dry → 7% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 75-point cliff under stress.100.0
78Drought reliability cliffHOME SUPPLY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 51% dry → 33% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.81.5
77Drought reliability cliffHOME SUPPLY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 88% in median years → 56% dry → 36% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.77.6
76Drought reliability cliffHOME SUPPLY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 89% in median years → 59% dry → 41% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 48-point cliff under stress.72.7
73Decree-to-current-use conflict24.42244277 ac commercial parcel is served by HOME SUPPLY DITCH, whose decree permits only [1234578AQ]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
73Decree-to-current-use conflict12.60124329 ac residential parcel is served by HOME SUPPLY DITCH, whose decree permits only [1234578AQ]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
73Decree-to-current-use conflict2.16616303 ac commercial parcel is served by HOME SUPPLY DITCH, whose decree permits only [1234578AQ]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
73Decree-to-current-use conflict24.42244277 ac commercial parcel is served by HOME SUPPLY DITCH, whose decree permits only [1234578AQ]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.92.9
73Decree-to-current-use conflict12.60124329 ac residential parcel is served by HOME SUPPLY DITCH, whose decree permits only [1234578AQ]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.90.1
73Decree-to-current-use conflict24.42244277 ac commercial parcel is served by HOME SUPPLY DITCH, whose decree permits only [1234578AQ]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.89.0
73Decree-to-current-use conflict2.08577821 ac commercial parcel is served by HOME SUPPLY DITCH, whose decree permits only [1234578AQ]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.95.1
71Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1882 priority) carries 1,006.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 24 senior caller(s); dominant caller BARNES DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 756 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.55.1
70Basin chokepoint callerHOME SUPPLY DITCH has put 715 decreed rights (10,002 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 77,367.6 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 24.9.24.9
66Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1883 priority) carries 718.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 18 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.8 day-eq). 547 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.8
66Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1873 priority) carries 603.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 14 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (143.9 day-eq). 449 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.49.1
66Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1873 priority) carries 564.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (143.9 day-eq). 427 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.5
66Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1880 priority) carries 670.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.8 day-eq). 498 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.1
66Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1877 priority) carries 641.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (143.9 day-eq). 476 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.49.6
66Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1890 priority) carries 1,098.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller BARNES DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 815 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.5
66Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1878 priority) carries 666 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.7 day-eq). 493 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.0
66Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1901 priority) carries 887.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 20 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.8 day-eq). 650 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.3
66Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1968 priority) carries 1,098.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller BARNES DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 815 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.5
66Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1873 priority) carries 622 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 14 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (143.9 day-eq). 465 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.49.3
66Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (2002 priority) carries 1,098.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller BARNES DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 815 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.5
66Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1887 priority) carries 757.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 19 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.8 day-eq). 566 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.4
66Underused water asset316.7681526 ac (WELD County, MLD EQUITIES LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HOME SUPPLY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
66Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1872 priority) carries 557.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (141.7 day-eq). 426 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.4
65Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1896 priority) carries 887.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 20 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.8 day-eq). 650 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.3
64Critical call exposureHOME SUPPLY DITCH (1871 priority) carries 519.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 12 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (141.7 day-eq). 392 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.45.1
63Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHOME SUPPLY DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~198 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BARNES DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
61Drought reliability cliffHOME SUPPLY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 27% dry → 7% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 75-point cliff under stress.100.0
57Decree-to-current-use conflict35.38072804 ac commercial parcel is served by HOME SUPPLY DITCH, whose decree permits only [1234578AQ]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.80.8
55Drought reliability cliffHOME SUPPLY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 77% in median years → 17% dry → 6% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 71-point cliff under stress.100.0
55Drought reliability cliffHOME SUPPLY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 77% in median years → 17% dry → 6% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 71-point cliff under stress.100.0
55Drought reliability cliffHOME SUPPLY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 77% in median years → 17% dry → 6% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 71-point cliff under stress.100.0
54Underused water asset163.49049157 ac (WELD County, SAUER WEST LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HOME SUPPLY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
54Underused water asset162.69927682 ac (WELD County, PHANTOM 46 LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HOME SUPPLY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
54Underused water asset162.0308204 ac (WELD County, MARTY LAND COMPANY LLLP): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HOME SUPPLY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
54Underused water asset161.79029573 ac (WELD County, NEW DAY/SUNRISE LTD LIABILITY COMPANY): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HOME SUPPLY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
54Underused water asset161.61202375 ac (WELD County, TYREECO LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HOME SUPPLY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
54Underused water asset161.4955369 ac (WELD County, K B MARKHAM FARMS LLLP): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HOME SUPPLY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
54Underused water asset160.57658684 ac (WELD County, WAGGENER MICHAEL TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on HOME SUPPLY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8