BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Parcel-split allocation risk / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_parcel-split-allocation-risk_1115

Parcel-split allocation risk

verifiedBOULDER WELD CTY DITCH →

Irrigated place D1-2020-10603162 (36 ac, ALFALFA, served by BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH) now spans 4 parcels held by 4 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.

Priority
44.6
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.80
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.07
urgency0.50
confidence0.80
freshness0.50
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0600515
state
CO
county
WELD
owners
["SHAW FAMILY LLLP","KOBOBEL WILLIAM EDWARD","RAY PAMELA A","WILLIAMS FAMILY FARM LLC"]
latitude
40.113547
place_id
D1-2020-10603162
longitude
-105.027157
parcel_ids
["08123-131329000028","08123-131329000061","08123-131329101011","08123-131320403019"]
county_fips
08123
identifiers
{"wdid":"0600515"}
structure_name
BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH
score_components
{"owners":4,"parcels":4,"place_acres":36,"parcels_without_instrument":4}
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_parcel-split-allocation-risk_1115
record
D1-2020-10603162 @ water_irrigated_places
signal
signal:parcel-split-allocation-risk
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
84Critical caller value-at-riskBOULDER WELD CTY DITCH's observed call reaches 698 parcels — 8,335 coverage-weighted acres, $317.1M assessed value, 404 distinct owners — through the 11 structures it has put out of priority (42,275.2 day-equivalents, most recently 2025).100.0
80Critical call exposureBOULDER WELD CTY DITCH (1990 priority) carries 854.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 27 senior caller(s); dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH (201.1 day-eq). 665 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.8
79Critical call exposureBOULDER WELD CTY DITCH (1986 priority) carries 859.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 27 senior caller(s); dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH (201.1 day-eq). 665 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.9
79Critical call exposureBOULDER WELD CTY DITCH (1871 priority) carries 591.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 14 senior caller(s); dominant caller HIGHLAND SOUTH SIDE DITCH (143.5 day-eq). 421 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.9
79Augmentation condition not verifiedBOULDER WELD CTY DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
73Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentBOULDER WELD CTY DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~149 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.95.7
73Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentBOULDER WELD CTY DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~149 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.95.7
66Critical call exposureBOULDER WELD CTY DITCH (1870 priority) carries 591.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 14 senior caller(s); dominant caller HIGHLAND SOUTH SIDE DITCH (143.5 day-eq). 421 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.9
66Drought reliability cliffBOULDER WELD CTY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 48% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.4
66Drought reliability cliffBOULDER WELD CTY DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 48% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.3
58Underused water asset221.52 ac (BOULDER County, COUNTY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
58Underused water asset217.63127031 ac (WELD County, ANDERSON SOUTHFARM LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
56Underused water asset183.72501509 ac (WELD County, WILLIAMS FAMILY FARM LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
54Underused water asset156.03821853 ac (WELD County, 7RS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
53Underused water asset150.35914079 ac (WELD County, DREAM WEAVER HOLDINGS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
53Underused water asset144.95855429 ac (WELD County, WINTERS TAMMY LYNNE): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
52Underused water asset141.11573997 ac (WELD County, RASMUSSEN FAMILY FARMS LLP (66 2/3%)): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
50Underused water asset114.46545766 ac (WELD County, SHAW FAMILY LLLP): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Underused water asset87.69228783 ac (WELD County, ERIE TOWN OF): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Underused water asset78.1832976 ac (WELD County, BROOMFIELD CITY OF): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Underused water asset75.37122585 ac (WELD County, SANDLIN KATHIE): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
47Underused water asset73.5110337 ac (WELD County, ST VRAIN VALLEY SCHOOL DISTRICT RE1J): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
47Underused water asset65.43058694 ac (WELD County, LEGACY LAKE LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
47Underused water asset63.25252287 ac (WELD County, VICTORY VALLEY FARMS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
47Underused water asset62.900514 ac (WELD County, HUNT BROTHERS PROPERTIES INC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10601947 (68 ac, ALFALFA, served by BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.4
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10511039 (65 ac, ALFALFA, served by BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.3
46Underused water asset60.38964638 ac (WELD County, BROOMFIELD CITY OF): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
46Underused water asset59.31584973 ac (WELD County, SANDLIN KATHIE): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
46Underused water asset59.13569377 ac (WELD County, ARMSTEAD RANCH LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
46Underused water asset55.74148486 ac (WELD County, SENCENBAUGH ROBERT N): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
46Decree-to-current-use conflict17.69546704 ac commercial parcel is served by BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH, whose decree permits only [1AC]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.62.3
46Underused water asset51.626 ac (BOULDER County, COUNTY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10501639 (53 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.1
45Underused water asset47.4153011 ac (WELD County, SANDLIN KATHIE): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Underused water asset47.36454695 ac (WELD County, FARFRUMWURKIN LLLP): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Underused water asset44.55560364 ac (WELD County, KOBOBEL WILLIAM EDWARD): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Underused water asset44.23571744 ac (WELD County, JILLSON CENTENNIAL FARM LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Decree-to-current-use conflict3.26471374 ac residential parcel is served by BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH, whose decree permits only [1AC]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.67.7
45Underused water asset39.691 ac (BOULDER County, COUNTY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10502085 (36 ac, ALFALFA, served by BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.7
45Underused water asset36.9948965 ac (WELD County, 833 LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10503343 (35 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.7
45Underused water asset36.17080331 ac (WELD County, ME ERIE LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10615282 (34 ac, ALFALFA, served by BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.7
44Decree-to-current-use conflict1.50133647 ac residential parcel is served by BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH, whose decree permits only [1AC]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.67.2
44Underused water asset34.28219507 ac (WELD County, HUNT BROTHERS PROPERTIES INC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
44Decree-to-current-use conflict1.88381027 ac residential parcel is served by BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH, whose decree permits only [1AC]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.67.1
44Underused water asset34.17710609 ac (WELD County, EAGLE NEST VIEW ESTATE CO): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
44Decree-to-current-use conflict0.85533681 ac residential parcel is served by BOULDER WELD CTY DITCH, whose decree permits only [1AC]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.67.1