BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Drought reliability cliff / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_drought-reliability-cliff_3924

Drought reliability cliff

candidateCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D →

CLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 44% dry → 26% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.

Priority
79.6
composite 0–100
Raw score
87.9
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.72
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact1.00
urgency0.84
confidence0.72
freshness0.55
novelty0.60
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0700547
state
CO
county
ADAMS
admin_no
51864
division
1
latitude
39.816166
right_id
0700547-51864.00000
longitude
-105.001412
county_fips
08001
identifiers
{"wdid":"0700547"}
decreed_uses
0
legal_status
Conditional
water_source
CLEAR CREEK
seniority_rank
36783
structure_name
CLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
7
decreed_rate_cfs
460
score_components
{"method":"empirical call replay by intensity-classed years","cliff_points":59,"years_observed":37,"reliability_dry":0.44,"reliability_median":0.84,"reliability_severe":0.26}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1991-12-31
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_drought-reliability-cliff_3924
record
0700547-51864.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:drought-reliability-cliff
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1991 priority) carries 810.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 676 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
86Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1981 priority) carries 810.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 676 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~159 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.98.9
80Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~159 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.98.9
77Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1990 priority) carries 810.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 676 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
75Drought reliability cliffCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 44% dry → 26% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.87.9
75Basin chokepoint callerCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D has put 1324 decreed rights (12,039 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 222,669.3 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 33.8.33.8
74Critical caller value-at-riskCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D's observed call reaches 230 parcels — 1,731 coverage-weighted acres, $41.0M assessed value, 173 distinct owners — through the 41 structures it has put out of priority (222,669.3 day-equivalents, most recently 2026).85.7
71Underused water asset384.7894 ac (ADAMS County, ADAMS COUNTY): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on CLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
70Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~159 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.98.9
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1872 priority) carries 780.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (368.5 day-eq). 656 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1872 priority) carries 593.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (181.8 day-eq). 513 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.9
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1877 priority) carries 783.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 661 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1874 priority) carries 780.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (368.5 day-eq). 656 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1869 priority) carries 783.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 661 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1887 priority) carries 783.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 661 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1870 priority) carries 510 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 9 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (173.8 day-eq). 422 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.47.7
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1886 priority) carries 781.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (368.5 day-eq). 656 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (2000 priority) carries 811.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 12 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 676 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1885 priority) carries 781.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (368.5 day-eq). 656 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1886 priority) carries 783.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 661 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1886 priority) carries 783.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 661 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1867 priority) carries 505.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 8 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (173.8 day-eq). 421 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.47.6
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1869 priority) carries 781.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (368.5 day-eq). 656 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1895 priority) carries 783.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 661 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1872 priority) carries 783.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 661 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1881 priority) carries 781.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (368.5 day-eq). 656 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1892 priority) carries 783.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 661 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1902 priority) carries 783.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 661 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1905 priority) carries 810.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 676 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1868 priority) carries 508.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 8 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (173.8 day-eq). 422 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.47.6
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1983 priority) carries 810.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 676 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1878 priority) carries 781.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (368.5 day-eq). 656 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1902 priority) carries 810.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 676 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1990 priority) carries 810.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 676 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1877 priority) carries 781 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (368.5 day-eq). 656 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.7
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1996 priority) carries 810.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 676 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1999 priority) carries 811.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 12 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 676 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
66Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (2004 priority) carries 811.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 12 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (371.1 day-eq). 676 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
65Critical call exposureCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D (1865 priority) carries 494.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 8 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS HIGHLINE CANAL (163.2 day-eq). 411 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.46.6
65Drought reliability cliffCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 44% dry → 26% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.87.9
55Underused water asset175.8 ac (ADAMS County, CITY AND COUNTY OF DENVER ACTING BY AND): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on CLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
53Augmentation condition not verifiedCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedCLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
51Underused water asset128.539 ac (ADAMS County, COUNTY OF ADAMS THE): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on CLEAR CR PLATTE RIVER D still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8