BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Drought reliability cliff / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_drought-reliability-cliff_2946

Drought reliability cliff

candidateNORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH

NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 53% dry → 37% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 50-point cliff under stress.

Priority
48.6
composite 0–100
Raw score
75.3
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.72
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.07
urgency0.72
confidence0.72
freshness0.55
novelty0.60
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0600543
state
CO
county
BOULDER
admin_no
22022
division
1
latitude
40.015049
right_id
0600543-22022.00000
longitude
-105.278716
county_fips
08013
identifiers
{"wdid":"0600543"}
decreed_uses
0
legal_status
Absolute
water_source
BOULDER CREEK
seniority_rank
8967
structure_name
NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
6
decreed_rate_cfs
6.6
score_components
{"method":"empirical call replay by intensity-classed years","cliff_points":50,"years_observed":37,"reliability_dry":0.53,"reliability_median":0.87,"reliability_severe":0.37}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1910-04-18
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_drought-reliability-cliff_2946
record
0600543-22022.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:drought-reliability-cliff
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
86Critical caller value-at-riskNORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH's observed call reaches 556 parcels — 5,886 coverage-weighted acres, $75.2M assessed value, 301 distinct owners — through the 10 structures it has put out of priority (64,828.7 day-equivalents, most recently 2026).100.0
71Water-backed land assemblageCITY OF BOULDER holds 28 parcels totaling 588 ac (assessed $92.4M) under NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH — a water-backed assemblage on one system (supply quality 0.79). assessor roll from annual OIT data call; ownership may be up to 12 months stale.100.0
69Basin chokepoint callerNORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH has put 636 decreed rights (4,909 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 64,828.7 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 22.4.22.4
67Critical call exposureNORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH (1910 priority) carries 731.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 24 senior caller(s); dominant caller HIGHLAND SOUTH SIDE DITCH (143.5 day-eq). 559 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.0
66Critical call exposureNORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH (1910 priority) carries 731.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 24 senior caller(s); dominant caller HIGHLAND SOUTH SIDE DITCH (143.5 day-eq). 559 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.0
59Augmentation condition not verifiedNORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.66.9
56Underused water asset189.4471 ac (BOULDER County, BOULDER MUNICIPAL SPORTS CTR): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
53Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10601455 (179 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH) now spans 11 parcels held by 10 owner(s) — 11 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
49Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10601519 (110 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH) now spans 5 parcels held by 5 owner(s) — 5 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
49Drought reliability cliffNORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 53% dry → 37% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 50-point cliff under stress.75.3
48Underused water asset78.133 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Underused water asset75.9 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
46Underused water asset61.683 ac (BOULDER County, MOCKINGBIRD FARM NUMBER 4 LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10600255 (50 ac, ALFALFA, served by NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.0
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10604760 (49 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.0
45Underused water asset39.897 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Underused water asset39.923 ac (BOULDER County, SHANIDIIN FARM LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10604759 (38 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH) now spans 5 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 5 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
45Underused water asset37.5975 ac (BOULDER County, COUNTY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Underused water asset36.652 ac (BOULDER County, LISCO DANIEL J LIVING TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Underused water asset36.536 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
44Underused water asset33.511 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
44Underused water asset30.992 ac (BOULDER County, GUNBARREL PUBLIC IMPROVEMENT DISTRICT): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
44Underused water asset30.393 ac (BOULDER County, GUNBARREL PUBLIC IMPROVEMENT DISTRICT): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
44Underused water asset25.84 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
44Underused water asset25.31 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
44Underused water asset23.5 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10600795 (15 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.3
43Underused water asset20.31 ac (BOULDER County, 6712 JAY ROAD LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset20.275 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset19.711 ac (BOULDER County, HICKMAN JAMES H & SUSAN A YANCIK): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset19.339 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset18.141 ac (BOULDER County, PTREE LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset16.885 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset16.71 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset16.27 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset16.017 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset15.69 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset15.314 ac (BOULDER County, JAGT ROBERT A & JOANNE F LIVING TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset14.2067 ac (BOULDER County, CLEGHORN JOSEPH & SAVANNAH K): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset13.78 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset13.569 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset13.18 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset11.056 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset10.976 ac (BOULDER County, 4336 63RD STREET LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
43Underused water asset8.954 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water asset8.359 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water asset7.624 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water asset7.51 ac (BOULDER County, MOUNTAIN SHADOWS MONTESSORI): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water asset7.273 ac (BOULDER County, HAGER CHARLES R IV & LAUREN Q): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on NORTH BOULDER FARMERS DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8