BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Decree-to-current-use conflict / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_decree-use-conflict_3874

Decree-to-current-use conflict

verifiedLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL →

13.78119352 ac commercial parcel is served by LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL, whose decree permits only [1234578Q]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.

Priority
55.6
composite 0–100
Raw score
76.4
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.82
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.42
urgency0.50
confidence0.82
freshness0.50
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0400532
state
CO
county
WELD
acreage
13.78119352
latitude
40.422367
right_id
0400532-4332.00000
longitude
-104.857886
parcel_id
08123-095702400026
county_fips
08123
identifiers
{"wdid":"0400532","parcel_id":"08123-095702400026"}
parcel_owner
JCK REAL ESTATE LLC
situs_address
10611 HWY 257 SPUR GREELEY
assessed_value
846060
land_use_class
commercial
staleness_note
assessor roll from annual OIT data call; ownership may be up to 12 months stale
assessor_vintage
2026-01-01
score_components
{"parcel_use":"commercial","permitted_uses":["1234578Q"],"decree_confidence":0.850000023841858}
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_decree-use-conflict_3874
record
08123-095702400026 @ water_parcels
signal
signal:decree-use-conflict
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1881 priority) carries 627.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.8 day-eq). 451 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.49.4
95Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1902 priority) carries 869.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 20 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.8 day-eq). 632 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~178 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.5 over 6 comparable seasons.96.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~136 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.5 over 6 comparable seasons.82.5
82Drought reliability cliffLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 41% dry → 17% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 66-point cliff under stress.99.6
77Drought reliability cliffLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 88% in median years → 57% dry → 36% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.77.8
77Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1890 priority) carries 985.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 25 senior caller(s); dominant caller BARNES DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 734 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.54.8
73Decree-to-current-use conflict132.23001932 ac industrial parcel is served by LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL, whose decree permits only [1234578Q]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.87.9
73Decree-to-current-use conflict12.16435454 ac residential parcel is served by LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL, whose decree permits only [1234578Q]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.87.9
73Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1890 priority) carries 736.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 19 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.8 day-eq). 544 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.0
72Underused water asset635.01672247 ac (WELD County, BOOTH LAND & LIVESTOCK COMPANY): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
70Decree-to-current-use conflict6.9085338 ac commercial parcel is served by LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL, whose decree permits only [1234578Q]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.88.4
70Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~198 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BARNES DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
70Basin chokepoint callerLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL has put 685 decreed rights (10,329 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 86,049 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 24.9.24.9
70Decree-to-current-use conflict5.97277429 ac commercial parcel is served by LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL, whose decree permits only [1234578Q]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.91.1
68Drought reliability cliffLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 27% dry → 7% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 75-point cliff under stress.100.0
67Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1878 priority) carries 584.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.7 day-eq). 416 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.4
67Decree-to-current-use conflict8.58457813 ac commercial parcel is served by LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL, whose decree permits only [1234578Q]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.91.7
66Underused water asset326.25950427 ac (WELD County, 67TH AVENUE LLC (25% INT)): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
66Underused water asset324.94726075 ac (WELD County, WIEDEMAN GARY W): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
66Underused water asset323.0194114 ac (WELD County, BERNHARDT FARMS LLC (1/2 INT)): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
66Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1901 priority) carries 866.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 20 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.8 day-eq). 628 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.0
66Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1887 priority) carries 736.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 19 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.8 day-eq). 544 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.0
66Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1883 priority) carries 697.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 18 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.8 day-eq). 525 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.5
66Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (2002 priority) carries 1,100.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller BARNES DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.5
66Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1969 priority) carries 1,100.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller BARNES DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.5
66Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1994 priority) carries 1,100.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller BARNES DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.5
66Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1969 priority) carries 1,100.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller BARNES DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.5
66Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1969 priority) carries 1,100.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller BARNES DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.5
66Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1880 priority) carries 584.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (149.8 day-eq). 416 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.4
65Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~154 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.5 over 6 comparable seasons.88.3
65Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1913 priority) carries 1,100.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller BARNES DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 800 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.5
65Underused water asset305.63162144 ac (WELD County, BIG THOMPSON VALLEY FARM LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
65Underused water asset305.3433511 ac (WELD County, HANKINS FARMS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
65Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1877 priority) carries 559.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (143.9 day-eq). 399 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.46.4
65Underused water asset302.28695676 ac (WELD County, GREELEY CITY OF): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
64Underused water asset300.44690745 ac (WELD County, CHISMAR CYNTHIA DEAN 2012 IRREVOCABLE TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
64Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1873 priority) carries 550.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 14 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (143.9 day-eq). 395 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.45.9
64Critical call exposureLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL (1873 priority) carries 546.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 14 senior caller(s); dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL (143.9 day-eq). 391 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.45.4
64Underused water asset291.4482235 ac (WELD County, BERNHARDT DAVID LEE CONSOLIDATED TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
64Underused water asset290.35184159 ac (WELD County, ZEILER FARMS): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
61Underused water asset253.12417372 ac (WELD County, CHISMAR MATTHEW J IRREVOCABLE TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
61Decree-to-current-use conflict4.7654797 ac commercial parcel is served by LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL, whose decree permits only [1234578Q]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.88.9
59Drought reliability cliffLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 49% dry → 28% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 58-point cliff under stress.86.7
58Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~124 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller FARMERS IRRIGATION CANAL: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.5 over 6 comparable seasons.78.7
58Underused water asset216.63562063 ac (WELD County, WESTERN EQUIPMENT & TRUCK INC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
57Underused water asset202.35936702 ac (WELD County, SHUPE BROS CO): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
57Underused water asset198.35495106 ac (WELD County, KAMMERZELL FARM LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
56Underused water asset194.04683151 ac (WELD County, WESTERN EQUIPMENT & TRUCK INC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LOVELAND GREELEY CANAL still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
56Augmentation condition not verifiedLOVELAND GREELEY CANAL: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.63.4