BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_1291

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateBRAVO DITCH

BRAVO DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
69.2
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.46
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
6400522
state
CO
county
LOGAN
admin_no
53558
division
1
latitude
40.675392
right_id
6400522-53558.00000
longitude
-103.132296
county_fips
08075
identifiers
{"wdid":"6400522"}
decreed_uses
12ARW
legal_status
Absolute
water_source
SOUTH PLATTE RIVER
seniority_rank
39289
structure_name
BRAVO DITCH
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
64
decreed_rate_cfs
46.4
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":212}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1996-08-20
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_1291
record
6400522-53558.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
81Basin chokepoint callerBRAVO DITCH has put 2137 decreed rights (57,712 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 18,681.9 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 50.9.50.9
76Critical call exposureBRAVO DITCH (1996 priority) carries 3,884.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 88 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3128 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.98.3
75Critical call exposureBRAVO DITCH (1893 priority) carries 1,317.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 45 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 1047 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.8
70Critical call exposureBRAVO DITCH (1906 priority) carries 2,800.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 72 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2240 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.82.0
69Critical call exposureBRAVO DITCH (1895 priority) carries 1,356.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 47 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 1047 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.60.4
67Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentBRAVO DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~161 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.99.5
66Critical call exposureBRAVO DITCH (2003 priority) carries 3,936.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3165 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.99.1
61Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentBRAVO DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~204 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentBRAVO DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16412606 (121 ac, ALFALFA, served by BRAVO DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.99.4
49Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16416604 (110 ac, WHEAT_FALL, served by BRAVO DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.99.2
49Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407644 (107 ac, WHEAT_FALL, served by BRAVO DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.1
49Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16406848 (102 ac, ALFALFA, served by BRAVO DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.0
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16411141 (99 ac, CORN, served by BRAVO DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.99.0
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16411142 (95 ac, CORN, served by BRAVO DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.9
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407822 (83 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by BRAVO DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.7
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407803 (63 ac, WHEAT_FALL, served by BRAVO DITCH) now spans 4 parcels held by 4 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16406850 (59 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by BRAVO DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.2
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16415828 (50 ac, ALFALFA, served by BRAVO DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.0
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16408294 (39 ac, SMALL_GRAINS, served by BRAVO DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.8
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16414376 (38 ac, ALFALFA, served by BRAVO DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.8
44Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407372 (27 ac, ALFALFA, served by BRAVO DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.5
43Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16413639 (6 ac, ALFALFA, served by BRAVO DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.1
41Water-backed land assemblageMANUELLO DONALD J holds 4 parcels totaling 878 ac (assessed $0.0M) under BRAVO DITCH — a water-backed assemblage on one system (supply quality 0.42). assessor roll from annual OIT data call; ownership may be up to 12 months stale.74.8