BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_1269

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateHARMONY DITCH 1

HARMONY DITCH 1, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~181 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
85.3
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact1.00
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
6400511
state
CO
county
LOGAN
admin_no
19765
division
1
latitude
40.82344
right_id
6400511-19765.00000
longitude
-102.874368
county_fips
08075
identifiers
{"wdid":"6400511"}
decreed_uses
01
legal_status
Absolute
water_source
SOUTH PLATTE RIVER
seniority_rank
8016
structure_name
HARMONY DITCH 1
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
64
decreed_rate_cfs
450
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":181}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1904-02-12
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_1269
record
6400511-19765.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureHARMONY DITCH 1 (1895 priority) carries 1,339.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 47 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 1047 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.60.1
95Critical call exposureHARMONY DITCH 1 (1904 priority) carries 2,369.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 58 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 1941 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.75.5
95Critical call exposureHARMONY DITCH 1 (1985 priority) carries 3,840.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 88 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3107 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.97.6
95Critical call exposureHARMONY DITCH 1 (2007 priority) carries 3,951.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3190 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.99.3
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARMONY DITCH 1, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARMONY DITCH 1, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARMONY DITCH 1, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
80Critical call exposureHARMONY DITCH 1 (2003 priority) carries 3,904.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3151 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.98.6
79Augmentation condition not verifiedHARMONY DITCH 1: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
77Critical call exposureHARMONY DITCH 1 (2002 priority) carries 3,872.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 88 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3126 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.98.1
76Basin chokepoint callerHARMONY DITCH 1 has put 2107 decreed rights (56,143 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 62,635.5 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2025. Caller Power Index 49.3.49.3
73Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARMONY DITCH 1, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
70Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentHARMONY DITCH 1, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
66Critical call exposureHARMONY DITCH 1 (2006 priority) carries 3,951.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3190 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.99.3
66Critical call exposureHARMONY DITCH 1 (2002 priority) carries 3,861.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 88 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3122 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.97.9
66Critical call exposureHARMONY DITCH 1 (2003 priority) carries 3,910.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3159 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.98.7
57Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16408242 (248 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
53Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16408693 (170 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 4 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407809 (146 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.9
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16413959 (123 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.5
49Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16412786 (107 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.1
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407454 (92 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.8
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407880 (85 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.7
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407583 (79 ac, CORN, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.6
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16411872 (78 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.6
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16408156 (77 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.5
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16412737 (72 ac, CORN, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.4
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407884 (69 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.4
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16415824 (67 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.3
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407413 (60 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.2
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16408009 (58 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.2
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16415792 (55 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.1
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16406495 (47 ac, CORN, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.9
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16412565 (36 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.7
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407651 (35 ac, ALFALFA, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.7
44Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16415823 (33 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.7
44Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407650 (31 ac, CORN, served by HARMONY DITCH 1) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.6
41Water-backed land assemblageSTATE OF COLORADO holds 4 parcels totaling 6,087 ac (assessed $0.0M) under HARMONY DITCH 1 — a water-backed assemblage on one system (supply quality 0.4). assessor roll from annual OIT data call; ownership may be up to 12 months stale.90.1