BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_1012

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D

LEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~180 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
85.3
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact1.00
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0600893
state
CO
county
BOULDER
admin_no
29219
division
1
latitude
40.01588
right_id
0600893-29219.00000
longitude
-105.214329
county_fips
08013
identifiers
{"wdid":"0600893"}
decreed_uses
123478Q
legal_status
Absolute
water_source
SOUTH BOULDER CREEK
seniority_rank
11317
structure_name
LEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
6
decreed_rate_cfs
1000
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"COMMUNITY DITCH","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":180}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1929-12-31
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_1012
record
0600893-29219.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D (1929 priority) carries 931.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 23 senior caller(s); dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH (142.6 day-eq). 737 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.54.0
95Critical call exposureLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D (1954 priority) carries 1,072.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 24 senior caller(s); dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH (142.6 day-eq). 815 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.1
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~185 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
82Drought reliability cliffLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 34% dry → 16% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 66-point cliff under stress.98.7
80Drought reliability cliffLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 73% in median years → 23% dry → 13% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.4
66Critical call exposureLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D (1873 priority) carries 740.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 592 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.1
66Critical call exposureLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D (1872 priority) carries 703.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 14 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 546 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.6
66Critical call exposureLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D (1870 priority) carries 701.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 14 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 546 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.5
66Critical call exposureLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D (1999 priority) carries 1,084.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 25 senior caller(s); dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH (142.6 day-eq). 832 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.56.3
66Critical call exposureLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D (1866 priority) carries 682.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 533 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.2
66Critical call exposureLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D (1865 priority) carries 581.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 457 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.7
64Critical call exposureLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D (1864 priority) carries 524.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 8 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 392 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.45.2
51Drought reliability cliffLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 73% in median years → 22% dry → 13% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.4
48Drought reliability cliffLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 48% dry → 35% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 51-point cliff under stress.76.1
47Drought reliability cliffLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 51% dry → 40% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 47-point cliff under stress.69.8
47Drought reliability cliffLEGGETT-VALMONT INLET D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 51% dry → 40% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 46-point cliff under stress.69.6