BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0980

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH

SOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~145 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.

Priority
63.6
composite 0–100
Raw score
76.4
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.28
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0600593
state
CO
county
BOULDER
admin_no
20188.11079
division
1
latitude
39.972411
right_id
0600593-20188.11079
longitude
-105.223236
county_fips
08013
identifiers
{"wdid":"0600593"}
decreed_uses
0
legal_status
Absolute
water_source
SOUTH BOULDER CREEK
seniority_rank
8172
structure_name
SOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
6
decreed_rate_cfs
28
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH","p_call_by_jun15":0,"comparable_seasons":5,"expected_curtailment_days":145}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1880-05-01
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0980
record
0600593-20188.11079 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
75Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1884 priority) carries 784.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 621 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
75Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1880 priority) carries 784.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 621 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
75Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1871 priority) carries 691.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 534 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.4
72Basin chokepoint callerSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH has put 961 decreed rights (10,516 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 6,079.5 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 25.8.25.8
72Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1879 priority) carries 784.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 621 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
72Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1880 priority) carries 784.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 621 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
71Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1870 priority) carries 689.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 534 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.3
68Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1893 priority) carries 784.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 621 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
68Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1893 priority) carries 784.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 621 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
67Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~145 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.76.4
67Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~145 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.76.4
67Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~128 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.71.0
67Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1891 priority) carries 784.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 621 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.8
67Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1919 priority) carries 918.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 22 senior caller(s); dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH (142.6 day-eq). 724 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.8
66Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1873 priority) carries 728.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 15 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 580 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.9
66Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1866 priority) carries 689.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 534 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.3
66Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1881 priority) carries 748.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 599 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.2
66Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1870 priority) carries 689.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 534 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.3
66Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1872 priority) carries 691.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 534 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.4
66Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1866 priority) carries 689.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 534 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.3
66Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1865 priority) carries 564.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 443 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.5
65Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1865 priority) carries 581.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 11 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 457 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.7
65Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1870 priority) carries 689.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 534 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.3
65Critical call exposureSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH (1866 priority) carries 682.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 533 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.2
64Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~145 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.76.4
63Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~124 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.69.7
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~145 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.76.4
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~145 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.76.4
59Drought reliability cliffSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 42% dry → 32% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.77.4
59Drought reliability cliffSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 42% dry → 32% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.77.4
58Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~145 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.76.4
58Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~179 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
57Drought reliability cliffSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 51% dry → 40% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 46-point cliff under stress.69.6
55Drought reliability cliffSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 42% dry → 32% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.77.4
55Drought reliability cliffSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 42% dry → 32% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.77.4
55Drought reliability cliffSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 34% dry → 16% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 66-point cliff under stress.98.6
55Underused water asset173.342 ac (BOULDER County, HARBER AARON): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on SOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
53Drought reliability cliffSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 52% dry → 42% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 45-point cliff under stress.67.9
52Drought reliability cliffSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 42% dry → 32% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.77.4
52Drought reliability cliffSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 42% dry → 32% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.77.4
51Underused water asset124.361 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF LAFAYETTE THE): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on SOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
50Drought reliability cliffSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 42% dry → 32% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.77.4
50Augmentation condition not verifiedSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.55.7
50Augmentation condition not verifiedSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.55.5
49Drought reliability cliffSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 47% dry → 33% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 53-point cliff under stress.79.5
48Drought reliability cliffSOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 48% dry → 35% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 51-point cliff under stress.76.1
48Underused water asset81.937 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on SOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Underused water asset78.4158 ac (BOULDER County, BISHOPP THELMA): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on SOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
47Underused water asset70.851 ac (BOULDER County, STAR VIEW PROPERTIES LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on SOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
47Underused water asset67.396 ac (BOULDER County, CITY OF BOULDER): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on SOUTH BOULDER CANON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8