BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0963

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateEAST BOULDER DITCH

EAST BOULDER DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~180 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
85.3
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact1.00
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0600575
state
CO
county
BOULDER
admin_no
29219
division
1
latitude
39.995856
right_id
0600575-29219.00000
longitude
-105.216399
county_fips
08013
identifiers
{"wdid":"0600575"}
decreed_uses
0
legal_status
Absolute
water_source
SOUTH BOULDER CREEK
seniority_rank
11315
structure_name
EAST BOULDER DITCH
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
6
decreed_rate_cfs
127.2
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"COMMUNITY DITCH","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":180}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1929-12-31
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0963
record
0600575-29219.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureEAST BOULDER DITCH (1922 priority) carries 893.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 22 senior caller(s); dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH (142.6 day-eq). 713 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.4
95Critical call exposureEAST BOULDER DITCH (1929 priority) carries 893.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 22 senior caller(s); dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH (142.6 day-eq). 713 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.4
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentEAST BOULDER DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~180 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
82Drought reliability cliffEAST BOULDER DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 34% dry → 16% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 66-point cliff under stress.98.7
82Drought reliability cliffEAST BOULDER DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 34% dry → 16% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 66-point cliff under stress.98.7
81Critical call exposureEAST BOULDER DITCH (1863 priority) carries 757.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 609 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.4
81Critical call exposureEAST BOULDER DITCH (1911 priority) carries 878.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 20 senior caller(s); dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH (142.6 day-eq). 712 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.2
79Augmentation condition not verifiedEAST BOULDER DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
74Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentEAST BOULDER DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~145 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 5 comparable seasons.76.4
74Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentEAST BOULDER DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~175 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller COMMUNITY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
71Drought reliability cliffEAST BOULDER DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 35% dry → 18% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 64-point cliff under stress.95.6
66Drought reliability cliffEAST BOULDER DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 42% dry → 32% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.77.4
66Critical call exposureEAST BOULDER DITCH (1865 priority) carries 543.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 10 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 433 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.2
66Critical call exposureEAST BOULDER DITCH (1870 priority) carries 665 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 522 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.0
66Critical call exposureEAST BOULDER DITCH (1872 priority) carries 665 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 13 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 522 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.0
66Critical call exposureEAST BOULDER DITCH (1873 priority) carries 701.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 15 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 568 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.5
66Critical call exposureEAST BOULDER DITCH (1866 priority) carries 643.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 12 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 509 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.49.7
66Critical call exposureEAST BOULDER DITCH (1865 priority) carries 526.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 9 senior caller(s); dominant caller S BOULDER BEAR CR DITCH (128.8 day-eq). 419 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.47.8
53Augmentation condition not verifiedEAST BOULDER DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedEAST BOULDER DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
48Drought reliability cliffEAST BOULDER DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 48% dry → 35% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 51-point cliff under stress.76.1
47Drought reliability cliffEAST BOULDER DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 51% dry → 40% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 46-point cliff under stress.69.6
47Drought reliability cliffEAST BOULDER DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 51% dry → 40% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 46-point cliff under stress.69.6