BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0930

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateRURAL DITCH

RURAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~149 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
82.3
composite 0–100
Raw score
95.7
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.90
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0600551
state
CO
county
WELD
admin_no
60740
division
1
latitude
40.124976
right_id
0600551-60740.00000
longitude
-105.022662
county_fips
08123
identifiers
{"wdid":"0600551"}
decreed_uses
456ACR
legal_status
Conditional
water_source
BOULDER CREEK
seniority_rank
53456
structure_name
RURAL DITCH
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
6
decreed_rate_cfs
90
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":149}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
2016-04-19
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0930
record
0600551-60740.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
87Critical call exposureRURAL DITCH (2016 priority) carries 925.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH (201.1 day-eq). 691 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.9
77Critical call exposureRURAL DITCH (2005 priority) carries 925.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH (201.1 day-eq). 691 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.9
77Critical call exposureRURAL DITCH (2014 priority) carries 925.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH (201.1 day-eq). 691 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.9
75Critical call exposureRURAL DITCH (2001 priority) carries 923.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 27 senior caller(s); dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH (201.1 day-eq). 691 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.9
75Drought reliability cliffRURAL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 48% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.3
75Critical call exposureRURAL DITCH (2001 priority) carries 925.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH (201.1 day-eq). 691 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.9
75Critical call exposureRURAL DITCH (1997 priority) carries 925.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH (201.1 day-eq). 691 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.9
70Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentRURAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~149 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.95.7
70Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentRURAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~149 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.95.7
68Critical call exposureRURAL DITCH (2019 priority) carries 925.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH (201.1 day-eq). 691 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.9
68Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentRURAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~149 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.95.7
68Critical call exposureRURAL DITCH (2006 priority) carries 925.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH (201.1 day-eq). 691 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.9
67Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentRURAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~149 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.95.7
67Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentRURAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~149 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.95.7
66Critical call exposureRURAL DITCH (2000 priority) carries 923.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 27 senior caller(s); dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH (201.1 day-eq). 691 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.9
66Critical call exposureRURAL DITCH (2000 priority) carries 923.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 27 senior caller(s); dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH (201.1 day-eq). 691 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.9
66Critical call exposureRURAL DITCH (2001 priority) carries 923.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 27 senior caller(s); dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH (201.1 day-eq). 691 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.9
63Drought reliability cliffRURAL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 48% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.3
63Drought reliability cliffRURAL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 48% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.3
60Drought reliability cliffRURAL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 48% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.3
60Drought reliability cliffRURAL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 48% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.3
60Drought reliability cliffRURAL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 48% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.3
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentRURAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~149 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.95.7
59Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentRURAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~149 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller BOULDER WHITE ROCK DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.95.7
55Underused water asset176.63175617 ac (WELD County, ST VRAIN LAKES METROPOLITAN DISTRICT NO 1): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on RURAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
52Drought reliability cliffRURAL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 48% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.3
52Drought reliability cliffRURAL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 48% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.3
50Drought reliability cliffRURAL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 48% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.4
50Drought reliability cliffRURAL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 48% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.3
49Drought reliability cliffRURAL DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 48% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.80.3
49Underused water asset97.1608259 ac (WELD County, VARRA COMPANIES INC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on RURAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Underused water asset81.29535062 ac (WELD County, KOBOBEL WILLIAM EDWARD): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on RURAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Underused water asset80.36375718 ac (WELD County, VOGL MARGARET L): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on RURAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Underused water asset40.15106066 ac (WELD County, STINAR JERRILYN LOUISE): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on RURAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Underused water asset40.07230035 ac (WELD County, VOGL MARGARET L): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on RURAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10512550 (39 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by RURAL DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.8
45Underused water asset37.02403892 ac (WELD County, DOLAN SHAUN): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on RURAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Underused water asset36.9433217 ac (WELD County, VARRA COMPANIES INC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on RURAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
45Underused water asset36.53492765 ac (WELD County, WHITE LISA): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on RURAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
44Underused water asset34.66648777 ac (WELD County, VARRA PASQUALE): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on RURAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
44Underused water asset32.23369309 ac (WELD County, IDAHO CREEK HOMEOWNERS ASSN): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on RURAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
44Decree-to-current-use conflict5.01413352 ac residential parcel is served by RURAL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012456ACRWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.66.9
44Underused water asset30.55435802 ac (WELD County, FIRESTONE TOWN OF): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on RURAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
44Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10603675 (27 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by RURAL DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.5
44Decree-to-current-use conflict15.85176676 ac residential parcel is served by RURAL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012456ACRWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.66.4
44Decree-to-current-use conflict2.78918079 ac residential parcel is served by RURAL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012456ACRWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.66.4
44Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10504414 (19 ac, CORN, served by RURAL DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.4
44Decree-to-current-use conflict2.4714988 ac residential parcel is served by RURAL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012456ACRWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflict2.21115672 ac residential parcel is served by RURAL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012456ACRWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.7
43Decree-to-current-use conflict1.96525487 ac residential parcel is served by RURAL DITCH, whose decree permits only [012456ACRWX]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.7