BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0851

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1 →

ST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~199 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller HIGHLAND DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
61.3
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.20
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0500917
state
CO
county
BOULDER
admin_no
49974
division
1
latitude
40.157793
right_id
0500917-49974.00000
longitude
-105.090631
county_fips
08013
identifiers
{"wdid":"0500917"}
decreed_uses
02
legal_status
Conditional
water_source
SAINT VRAIN CREEK
seniority_rank
35069
structure_name
ST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1
structure_type
PUMP
water_district
5
decreed_rate_cfs
20
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"HIGHLAND DITCH","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":199}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1986-10-28
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0851
record
0500917-49974.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
73Augmentation condition not verifiedST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
70Critical call exposureST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1 (1986 priority) carries 1,053.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 50 senior caller(s); dominant caller HIGHLAND DITCH (156.8 day-eq). 855 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.55.8
66Critical call exposureST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1 (1929 priority) carries 1,046.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 49 senior caller(s); dominant caller HIGHLAND DITCH (156.8 day-eq). 846 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.55.7
66Critical call exposureST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1 (1904 priority) carries 1,014.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 44 senior caller(s); dominant caller HIGHLAND DITCH (156.8 day-eq). 834 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.55.2
66Critical call exposureST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1 (1902 priority) carries 997.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 42 senior caller(s); dominant caller HIGHLAND DITCH (156.8 day-eq). 813 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.55.0
66Critical call exposureST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1 (1902 priority) carries 988.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 41 senior caller(s); dominant caller HIGHLAND DITCH (156.8 day-eq). 808 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.54.8
66Critical call exposureST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1 (1871 priority) carries 602.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 14 senior caller(s); dominant caller JAMES DITCH (118.3 day-eq). 508 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.49.0
60Drought reliability cliffST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1: modeled irrigation-season reliability 81% in median years → 29% dry → 7% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 74-point cliff under stress.100.0
55Drought reliability cliffST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 35% dry → 9% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 73-point cliff under stress.100.0
55Drought reliability cliffST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 33% dry → 9% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 73-point cliff under stress.100.0
55Drought reliability cliffST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1: modeled irrigation-season reliability 81% in median years → 29% dry → 7% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 74-point cliff under stress.100.0
55Drought reliability cliffST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 36% dry → 10% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 72-point cliff under stress.100.0
53Augmentation condition not verifiedST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedST VRAIN PUMP STATION 1: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5