BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0700

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateBEELINE DITCH

BEELINE DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~164 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OSBORNE CAYWOOD DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
62.5
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.24
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0400587
state
CO
county
WELD
admin_no
55840
division
1
latitude
40.329796
right_id
0400587-55840.00000
longitude
-104.876051
county_fips
08123
identifiers
{"wdid":"0400587"}
decreed_uses
0
legal_status
Absolute and Conditional
water_source
LITTLE THOMPSON RIVER
seniority_rank
42399
structure_name
BEELINE DITCH
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
4
decreed_rate_cfs
24
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"OSBORNE CAYWOOD DITCH","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":164}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
2002-11-19
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0700
record
0400587-55840.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
75Critical call exposureBEELINE DITCH (1887 priority) carries 701.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 8 senior caller(s); dominant caller OSBORNE CAYWOOD DITCH (380.3 day-eq). 563 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.5
75Critical call exposureBEELINE DITCH (2005 priority) carries 771.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 9 senior caller(s); dominant caller OSBORNE CAYWOOD DITCH (382.2 day-eq). 593 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.6
71Critical call exposureBEELINE DITCH (2002 priority) carries 771.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 9 senior caller(s); dominant caller OSBORNE CAYWOOD DITCH (382.2 day-eq). 593 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.51.6
67Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentBEELINE DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~164 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OSBORNE CAYWOOD DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
67Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentBEELINE DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~155 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OSBORNE CAYWOOD DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.97.6
63Drought reliability cliffBEELINE DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 85% in median years → 35% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 61-point cliff under stress.92.0
62Drought reliability cliffBEELINE DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 45% dry → 27% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 58-point cliff under stress.87.7
58Drought reliability cliffBEELINE DITCH: modeled irrigation-season reliability 85% in median years → 35% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 61-point cliff under stress.92.0
42Basin chokepoint callerBEELINE DITCH has put 2221 decreed rights (58,845 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 1,088.5 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2016. Caller Power Index 37.7.37.7