BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0432

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateKYGER RESERVOIR PUMP STATION

KYGER RESERVOIR PUMP STATION, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.

Priority
61.3
composite 0–100
Raw score
82.8
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.20
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0300515
state
CO
county
LARIMER
admin_no
59900.59724
division
1
latitude
40.482839
right_id
0300515-59900.59724
longitude
-104.953497
county_fips
08069
identifiers
{"wdid":"0300515"}
decreed_uses
1247A
legal_status
Absolute
water_source
CACHE LA POUDRE RIVER
seniority_rank
52567
structure_name
KYGER RESERVOIR PUMP STATION
structure_type
PUMP
water_district
3
decreed_rate_cfs
20
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"OGILVY DITCH","p_call_by_jun15":0,"comparable_seasons":3,"expected_curtailment_days":165}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
2013-07-08
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0432
record
0300515-59900.59724 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
73Augmentation condition not verifiedKYGER RESERVOIR PUMP STATION: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
70Critical call exposureKYGER RESERVOIR PUMP STATION (2013 priority) carries 1,272.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.1
66Critical call exposureKYGER RESERVOIR PUMP STATION (2018 priority) carries 1,272.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.1
56Drought reliability cliffKYGER RESERVOIR PUMP STATION: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
53Augmentation condition not verifiedKYGER RESERVOIR PUMP STATION: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
51Drought reliability cliffKYGER RESERVOIR PUMP STATION: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3