BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Critical call exposure / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-exposure-critical_2695

Critical call exposure

verifiedLARIMER WELD RES

LARIMER WELD RES (1937 priority) carries 1,250.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 31 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 915 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.

Priority
65.8
composite 0–100
Raw score
58.8
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.98
0–1
Observed
2026-09-30
00:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.04
urgency1.00
confidence0.98
freshness1.00
novelty0.50
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0303805
state
CO
county
LARIMER
admin_no
35050.31888
division
1
latitude
40.62381
right_id
0303805-35050.31888
longitude
-105.078045
county_fips
08069
identifiers
{"wdid":"0303805"}
decreed_uses
1
legal_status
Absolute
water_source
CACHE LA POUDRE RIVER
seniority_rank
14511
structure_name
LARIMER WELD RES
structure_type
RESERVOIR
water_district
3
decreed_rate_cfs
null
score_components
{"callers":31,"recency":1,"exposure_depth":0.31,"day_equivalents":1250.8,"dominant_caller":"OGILVY DITCH","season_days_5yr":915}
decreed_volume_af
633
appropriation_date
1937-04-22
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-exposure-critical_2695
record
0303805-35050.31888 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-exposure-critical
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-09-30 00:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
68Basin chokepoint callerLARIMER WELD RES has put 3093 decreed rights (89,921 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 17,324.1 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2022. Caller Power Index 62.2.62.2
66Critical call exposureLARIMER WELD RES (1890 priority) carries 1,203 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 23 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 901 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.0
66Critical call exposureLARIMER WELD RES (1895 priority) carries 1,213.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 24 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 910 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.2
66Critical call exposureLARIMER WELD RES (1905 priority) carries 1,239.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 27 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 915 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.6
58Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLARIMER WELD RES, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~154 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.79.3
58Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLARIMER WELD RES, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~152 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.78.6
58Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLARIMER WELD RES, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~160 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.81.2
51Drought reliability cliffLARIMER WELD RES: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 33% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.4
51Drought reliability cliffLARIMER WELD RES: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 35% dry → 25% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 58-point cliff under stress.86.6
50Drought reliability cliffLARIMER WELD RES: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 41% dry → 28% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 56-point cliff under stress.83.6
50Drought reliability cliffLARIMER WELD RES: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 42% dry → 29% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 55-point cliff under stress.82.5