BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Critical call exposure / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-exposure-critical_2484

Critical call exposure

verifiedRES NO 8

RES NO 8 (1873 priority) carries 869.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 22 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 663 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.

Priority
65.8
composite 0–100
Raw score
53.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.98
0–1
Observed
2026-09-30
00:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.04
urgency1.00
confidence0.98
freshness1.00
novelty0.50
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0303727
state
CO
county
LARIMER
admin_no
8659
division
1
latitude
40.659862
right_id
0303727-8659.00000
longitude
-105.047329
county_fips
08069
identifiers
{"wdid":"0303727"}
decreed_uses
2
legal_status
Absolute
water_source
CACHE LA POUDRE RIVER
seniority_rank
3752
structure_name
RES NO 8
structure_type
RESERVOIR
water_district
3
decreed_rate_cfs
null
score_components
{"callers":22,"recency":1,"exposure_depth":0.22,"day_equivalents":869.4,"dominant_caller":"CANAL 3 DITCH","season_days_5yr":663}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1873-09-15
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-exposure-critical_2484
record
0303727-8659.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-exposure-critical
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-09-30 00:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
83Basin chokepoint callerRES NO 8 has put 3100 decreed rights (90,534 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 33,084.1 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2025. Caller Power Index 68.68.0
66Critical call exposureRES NO 8 (1870 priority) carries 615.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 501 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.49.2
66Critical call exposureRES NO 8 (1879 priority) carries 952.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 22 senior caller(s); dominant caller LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL (200.6 day-eq). 735 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.54.3
66Critical call exposureRES NO 8 (1903 priority) carries 1,221.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 26 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 910 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.3
58Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentRES NO 8, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~155 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.79.6
53Augmentation condition not verifiedRES NO 8: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
50Drought reliability cliffRES NO 8: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 39% dry → 27% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 56-point cliff under stress.84.3
50Drought reliability cliffRES NO 8: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 45% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 55-point cliff under stress.81.8
48Drought reliability cliffRES NO 8: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 51% dry → 35% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 51-point cliff under stress.75.8