BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Critical call exposure / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-exposure-critical_1615

Critical call exposure

verifiedLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D →

LARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1872 priority) carries 821 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 20 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 632 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.

Priority
65.8
composite 0–100
Raw score
52.3
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.98
0–1
Observed
2026-09-30
00:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.04
urgency1.00
confidence0.98
freshness1.00
novelty0.50
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0300914
state
CO
county
LARIMER
admin_no
8237
division
1
latitude
40.625755
right_id
0300914-8237.00000
longitude
-105.151354
county_fips
08069
identifiers
{"wdid":"0300914"}
decreed_uses
123456789ACW
legal_status
Absolute
water_source
CACHE LA POUDRE RIVER
seniority_rank
3369
structure_name
LARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
3
decreed_rate_cfs
null
score_components
{"callers":20,"recency":1,"exposure_depth":0.21,"day_equivalents":821,"dominant_caller":"CANAL 3 DITCH","season_days_5yr":632}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1872-07-20
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-exposure-critical_1615
record
0300914-8237.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-exposure-critical
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-09-30 00:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1873 priority) carries 857.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 658 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.9
95Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1998 priority) carries 1,271.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.1
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.82.8
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~134 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.33 over 5 comparable seasons.78.8
80Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
79Augmentation condition not verifiedLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
79Augmentation condition not verifiedLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
76Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 52% dry → 37% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 49-point cliff under stress.73.5
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1870 priority) carries 615.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 16 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 501 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.49.2
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1873 priority) carries 857.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 658 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.9
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1873 priority) carries 1,256.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 30 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.9
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1873 priority) carries 865.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 663 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.0
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1873 priority) carries 868.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 663 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.0
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1875 priority) carries 908 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (197.3 day-eq). 704 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.6
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1914 priority) carries 1,256.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1872 priority) carries 819.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 20 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 632 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.3
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1908 priority) carries 1,253.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 27 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1914 priority) carries 1,256.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1880 priority) carries 954.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL (200.6 day-eq). 735 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.54.3
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1872 priority) carries 1,256.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 30 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.9
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1871 priority) carries 722 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 18 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 569 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.8
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1893 priority) carries 1,212.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 23 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 910 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.2
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1879 priority) carries 951.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL (200.6 day-eq). 735 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.54.3
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (2018 priority) carries 1,271.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.1
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1879 priority) carries 1,256.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 30 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.9
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1880 priority) carries 1,256.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 30 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.9
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1906 priority) carries 1,271.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.1
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1992 priority) carries 1,271.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.1
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (2011 priority) carries 1,271.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.1
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (2003 priority) carries 1,271.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.1
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1878 priority) carries 908 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (197.3 day-eq). 704 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.6
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1881 priority) carries 954.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL (200.6 day-eq). 735 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.54.3
66Critical call exposureLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D (1871 priority) carries 814.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 19 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 625 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
53Augmentation condition not verifiedLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
51Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.6
51Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.6
51Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.6
51Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.6
51Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.6
51Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.6
51Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 24% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.8
51Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
51Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
51Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
51Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
51Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
50Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 41% dry → 28% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 56-point cliff under stress.83.6
50Drought reliability cliffLARIMER COUNTY NO 2 D: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 45% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 55-point cliff under stress.81.8