BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Augmentation condition not verified / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_augmentation-condition-unverified_9855

Augmentation condition not verified

verifiedFORT COLLINS IRR CNL →

FORT COLLINS IRR CNL: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.

Priority
51.3
composite 0–100
Raw score
57.5
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.84
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.07
urgency0.70
confidence0.84
freshness0.60
novelty0.60
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0300918
state
CO
county
LARIMER
admin_no
7092
division
1
latitude
40.611529
right_id
0300918-7092.00000
longitude
-105.112915
county_fips
08069
identifiers
{"wdid":"0300918"}
decreed_uses
123456789ACW
legal_status
Absolute
water_source
CACHE LA POUDRE RIVER
seniority_rank
2560
structure_name
FORT COLLINS IRR CNL
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
3
decreed_rate_cfs
1.67
score_components
{"plan_found":false,"augmentation_required":true}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1869-06-01
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_augmentation-condition-unverified_9855
record
0300918-7092.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:augmentation-condition-unverified
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
78Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1873 priority) carries 859.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 663 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.9
73Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1871 priority) carries 714.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 17 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (188.3 day-eq). 569 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.7
71Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentFORT COLLINS IRR CNL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~138 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.33 over 5 comparable seasons.80.1
69Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1872 priority) carries 813.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 19 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 632 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1873 priority) carries 850.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 20 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 658 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.8
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1875 priority) carries 901.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (197.3 day-eq). 704 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1871 priority) carries 807.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 18 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 625 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.1
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1872 priority) carries 811.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 19 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 632 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.2
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1873 priority) carries 850.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 20 senior caller(s); dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH (192.7 day-eq). 658 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.8
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1878 priority) carries 901.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH (197.3 day-eq). 704 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.53.5
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1880 priority) carries 947.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL (200.6 day-eq). 735 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.54.2
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1881 priority) carries 947.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL (200.6 day-eq). 735 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.54.2
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1893 priority) carries 1,205.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 23 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 910 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.1
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1908 priority) carries 1,247.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 27 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.7
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1914 priority) carries 1,249.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 28 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1872 priority) carries 1,250.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 30 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1873 priority) carries 1,250.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 30 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1879 priority) carries 1,250.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 30 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1880 priority) carries 1,250.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 30 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.8
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1906 priority) carries 1,265.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.0
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (1992 priority) carries 1,265.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.0
66Critical call exposureFORT COLLINS IRR CNL (2011 priority) carries 1,265.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.0
65Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentFORT COLLINS IRR CNL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~114 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.33 over 5 comparable seasons.72.4
63Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 51% dry → 35% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 51-point cliff under stress.76.6
61Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentFORT COLLINS IRR CNL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~127 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller CANAL 3 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0.33 over 5 comparable seasons.76.6
53Augmentation condition not verifiedFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
51Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.6
51Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.6
51Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.6
51Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.6
51Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 60-point cliff under stress.89.6
51Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 83% in median years → 34% dry → 24% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.8
51Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
51Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
51Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.88.3
51Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 54% dry → 41% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 46-point cliff under stress.69.3
50Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 41% dry → 28% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 56-point cliff under stress.83.6
50Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 43% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.81.5
50Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 84% in median years → 43% dry → 30% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 54-point cliff under stress.81.5
49Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 85% in median years → 49% dry → 33% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.78.2
49Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 85% in median years → 49% dry → 33% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 52-point cliff under stress.78.2
48Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 52% dry → 37% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 49-point cliff under stress.73.5
48Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 86% in median years → 52% dry → 37% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 49-point cliff under stress.73.5
47Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 55% dry → 41% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 46-point cliff under stress.69.3
47Drought reliability cliffFORT COLLINS IRR CNL: modeled irrigation-season reliability 87% in median years → 55% dry → 41% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 46-point cliff under stress.69.1
44Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10312730 (21 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by FORT COLLINS IRR CNL) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.97.4
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac commercial parcel is served by FORT COLLINS IRR CNL, whose decree permits only [123456789ACW]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by FORT COLLINS IRR CNL, whose decree permits only [123456789ACW]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac commercial parcel is served by FORT COLLINS IRR CNL, whose decree permits only [123456789ACW]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1