BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Parcel-split allocation risk / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_parcel-split-allocation-risk_2507

Parcel-split allocation risk

verifiedFT MORGAN CANAL →

Irrigated place D1-2020-10107539 (146 ac, ALFALFA, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.

Priority
51.2
composite 0–100
Raw score
90.9
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.80
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.29
urgency0.50
confidence0.80
freshness0.50
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0100514
state
CO
county
MORGAN
owners
["BADGER CREEK FARM LLC"]
latitude
40.220839
place_id
D1-2020-10107539
longitude
-103.749408
parcel_ids
["08087-122915000008","08087-122915000004"]
county_fips
08087
identifiers
{"wdid":"0100514"}
structure_name
FT MORGAN CANAL
score_components
{"owners":1,"parcels":2,"place_acres":146,"parcels_without_instrument":2}
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_parcel-split-allocation-risk_2507
record
D1-2020-10107539 @ water_irrigated_places
signal
signal:parcel-split-allocation-risk
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureFT MORGAN CANAL (1972 priority) carries 3,046.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 82 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2449 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.85.7
95Critical call exposureFT MORGAN CANAL (1882 priority) carries 727.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 32 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 597 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.9
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentFT MORGAN CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~207 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentFT MORGAN CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~100 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.80.0
82Basin chokepoint callerFT MORGAN CANAL has put 2272 decreed rights (59,351 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 261,887.6 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 57.5.57.5
69Critical call exposureFT MORGAN CANAL (2002 priority) carries 3,787.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 88 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3037 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.96.8
68Critical call exposureFT MORGAN CANAL (2000 priority) carries 3,786.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 88 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3037 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.96.8
66Critical call exposureFT MORGAN CANAL (2013 priority) carries 3,883.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3109 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.98.3
66Critical call exposureFT MORGAN CANAL (2003 priority) carries 3,842.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3078 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.97.6
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentFT MORGAN CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
59Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentFT MORGAN CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
58Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentFT MORGAN CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10112143 (138 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.99.8
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10111767 (137 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.7
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10109141 (136 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.99.7
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10101337 (135 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.7
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10108631 (133 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.7
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10110147 (132 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.99.6
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10107606 (129 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.6
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10111857 (129 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.6
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10111786 (127 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.99.5
49Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10112832 (116 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.3
49Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10113327 (115 ac, ALFALFA, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.3
49Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10112099 (109 ac, ALFALFA, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 5 parcels held by 5 owner(s) — 5 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
49Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10104052 (101 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 4 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10107863 (100 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.99.0
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10100283 (98 ac, ALFALFA, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.0
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10112414 (95 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.9
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10108254 (93 ac, SUGAR_BEETS, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.9
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10107352 (92 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.8
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10107140 (87 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 4 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10101866 (83 ac, ALFALFA, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.7
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10107594 (83 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.7
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10113681 (80 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.6
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10110943 (79 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.6
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10111170 (79 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.6
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10103225 (78 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.6
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10105866 (75 ac, ALFALFA, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.5
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10111768 (69 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.4
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10113025 (67 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.3
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10114061 (64 ac, ALFALFA, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.3
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10102365 (60 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.2
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10111987 (55 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.1
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10113668 (54 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.1
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10110861 (50 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.0
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10111169 (50 ac, ALFALFA, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.0
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10107169 (45 ac, CORN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.9
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10111867 (43 ac, ALFALFA, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.97.9
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10113643 (42 ac, SORGHUM_GRAIN, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.8
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10112180 (39 ac, ALFALFA, served by FT MORGAN CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.8