BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Parcel-split allocation risk / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_parcel-split-allocation-risk_1961

Parcel-split allocation risk

verifiedWELDON VALLEY DITCH →

Irrigated place D1-2020-10105888 (81 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.

Priority
47.4
composite 0–100
Raw score
98.6
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.80
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.16
urgency0.50
confidence0.80
freshness0.50
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0100511
state
CO
county
MORGAN
owners
["CASTOR, WADE E"]
latitude
40.384623
place_id
D1-2020-10105888
longitude
-104.028445
parcel_ids
["08087-097319000002","08087-097319000003","08087-097330000001"]
county_fips
08087
identifiers
{"wdid":"0100511"}
structure_name
WELDON VALLEY DITCH
score_components
{"owners":1,"parcels":3,"place_acres":81,"parcels_without_instrument":3}
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_parcel-split-allocation-risk_1961
record
D1-2020-10105888 @ water_irrigated_places
signal
signal:parcel-split-allocation-risk
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureWELDON VALLEY DITCH (1881 priority) carries 665.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 25 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 556 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.0
93Critical call exposureWELDON VALLEY DITCH (2002 priority) carries 3,901.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 88 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3140 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.98.5
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentWELDON VALLEY DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~99 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.79.7
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentWELDON VALLEY DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
79Augmentation condition not verifiedWELDON VALLEY DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
77Basin chokepoint callerWELDON VALLEY DITCH has put 2317 decreed rights (60,238 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 8,842.9 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2025. Caller Power Index 51.3.51.3
77Critical call exposureWELDON VALLEY DITCH (2016 priority) carries 3,987.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3208 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.99.8
73Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10105618 (525 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
73Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10102420 (536 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 7 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 7 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
70Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentWELDON VALLEY DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
66Critical call exposureWELDON VALLEY DITCH (2011 priority) carries 3,987.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3208 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.99.8
66Critical call exposureWELDON VALLEY DITCH (2006 priority) carries 3,987.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3208 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.99.8
55Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10106548 (211 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 4 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
52Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10112413 (154 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10100499 (146 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.99.9
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10106418 (144 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.99.9
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10100284 (140 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.8
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10107209 (138 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.8
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10106186 (138 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.99.8
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10100833 (136 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.7
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10105871 (132 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.99.6
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10104848 (131 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.99.6
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10111666 (131 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.6
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10102413 (99 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 4 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10106104 (99 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.99.0
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10115892 (95 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.9
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10109055 (95 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.9
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10109950 (93 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.9
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10106415 (92 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.8
48Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10107154 (89 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.8
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10101757 (79 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.6
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10105094 (74 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.5
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10100915 (72 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.4
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10105617 (70 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.4
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10107200 (69 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.4
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10101149 (68 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.4
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10104456 (66 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.3
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10111766 (64 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.3
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10115894 (64 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.3
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10107203 (63 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.98.3
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10106105 (60 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.2
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10109053 (57 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.1
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10114140 (53 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.1
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10105823 (52 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.0
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10110956 (46 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.9
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10108727 (45 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.9
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10115722 (42 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.97.8
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10111986 (41 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.8
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10103955 (40 ac, ALFALFA, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 4 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
45Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10107215 (38 ac, CORN, served by WELDON VALLEY DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.8