BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Decree-to-current-use conflict / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_decree-use-conflict_4640

Decree-to-current-use conflict

verifiedLAST CHANCE DITCH 2 →

null ac residential parcel is served by LAST CHANCE DITCH 2, whose decree permits only [123458AP]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.

Priority
72.9
composite 0–100
Raw score
95.1
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.82
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact1.00
urgency0.50
confidence0.82
freshness0.50
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0801007
state
CO
county
ARAPAHOE
acreage
null
latitude
39.583657
right_id
0801007-4717.00000
longitude
-105.042779
parcel_id
08005-2077-30-4-01-001
county_fips
08005
identifiers
{"wdid":"0801007","parcel_id":"08005-2077-30-4-01-001"}
parcel_owner
POLO RESERVE METROPOLITAN DISTRICT
situs_address
null
assessed_value
4763286
land_use_class
residential
staleness_note
assessor roll from annual OIT data call; ownership may be up to 12 months stale
assessor_vintage
2026-01-01
score_components
{"parcel_use":"residential","permitted_uses":["123458AP"],"decree_confidence":0.850000023841858}
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_decree-use-conflict_4640
record
08005-2077-30-4-01-001 @ water_parcels
signal
signal:decree-use-conflict
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
85Basin chokepoint callerLAST CHANCE DITCH 2 has put 2669 decreed rights (63,337 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 8,122.1 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 57.1.57.1
79Critical call exposureLAST CHANCE DITCH 2 (1995 priority) carries 3,827.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 88 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3077 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.97.4
72Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLAST CHANCE DITCH 2, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
66Critical call exposureLAST CHANCE DITCH 2 (2019 priority) carries 3,995.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3209 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.100.0
66Critical call exposureLAST CHANCE DITCH 2 (1984 priority) carries 3,264.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 85 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2613 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.89.0
66Critical call exposureLAST CHANCE DITCH 2 (1988 priority) carries 3,280 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 86 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2619 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.89.2
66Critical call exposureLAST CHANCE DITCH 2 (1985 priority) carries 3,291.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 86 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2627 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.89.4
66Critical call exposureLAST CHANCE DITCH 2 (1881 priority) carries 570 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 24 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 468 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.6
66Critical call exposureLAST CHANCE DITCH 2 (1878 priority) carries 555.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 21 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 461 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.3
66Critical call exposureLAST CHANCE DITCH 2 (1880 priority) carries 562.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 24 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 467 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.4
53Augmentation condition not verifiedLAST CHANCE DITCH 2: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
53Augmentation condition not verifiedLAST CHANCE DITCH 2: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
46Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by LAST CHANCE DITCH 2, whose decree permits only [123458AP]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.68.7
44Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10800785 (21 ac, ALFALFA, served by LAST CHANCE DITCH 2) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.4
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by LAST CHANCE DITCH 2, whose decree permits only [123458AP]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.4
43Decree-to-current-use conflictnull ac residential parcel is served by LAST CHANCE DITCH 2, whose decree permits only [123458AP]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.4
42Underused water assetnull ac (ARAPAHOE County, POLO RESERVE HOMEOWNERS ASSOC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LAST CHANCE DITCH 2 still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water assetnull ac (ARAPAHOE County, STOCKWELL JOHN WILLIS JR): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LAST CHANCE DITCH 2 still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water assetnull ac (ARAPAHOE County, POLO RESERVE METROPOLITAN DISTRICT): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LAST CHANCE DITCH 2 still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water assetnull ac (ARAPAHOE County, KRAUSE KEVIN A, KRAUSE EMILY A): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LAST CHANCE DITCH 2 still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water assetnull ac (ARAPAHOE County, owner unknown): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LAST CHANCE DITCH 2 still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
42Underused water assetnull ac (ARAPAHOE County, DUTCH CREEK PROPERTIES LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LAST CHANCE DITCH 2 still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8