BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_1166

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateDENVER CONDUIT NO 20

DENVER CONDUIT NO 20, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~92 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
59.2
composite 0–100
Raw score
77.4
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.13
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0801002
state
CO
county
JEFFERSON
admin_no
10480
division
1
latitude
39.470207
right_id
0801002-10480.00000
longitude
-105.134811
county_fips
08059
identifiers
{"wdid":"0801002"}
decreed_uses
2
legal_status
Absolute
water_source
SOUTH PLATTE RIVER
seniority_rank
4553
structure_name
DENVER CONDUIT NO 20
structure_type
PIPELINE
water_district
8
decreed_rate_cfs
13.22
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"EVANS NO 2 DITCH","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":92}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1878-09-10
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_1166
record
0801002-10480.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureDENVER CONDUIT NO 20 (1911 priority) carries 2,778 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 69 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2226 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.81.7
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentDENVER CONDUIT NO 20, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~204 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Basin chokepoint callerDENVER CONDUIT NO 20 has put 2642 decreed rights (62,964 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 61,615 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 57.8.57.8
80Critical call exposureDENVER CONDUIT NO 20 (1902 priority) carries 2,360.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 56 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 1928 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.75.4
75Critical call exposureDENVER CONDUIT NO 20 (1910 priority) carries 2,741.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 69 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2188 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.81.1
74Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentDENVER CONDUIT NO 20, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~181 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
74Critical call exposureDENVER CONDUIT NO 20 (1899 priority) carries 2,306 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 53 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 1879 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.74.6
71Critical call exposureDENVER CONDUIT NO 20 (1892 priority) carries 1,299.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 43 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 1035 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.5
68Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentDENVER CONDUIT NO 20, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~202 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
68Critical call exposureDENVER CONDUIT NO 20 (1878 priority) carries 557.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 22 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 464 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.4
68Critical call exposureDENVER CONDUIT NO 20 (1889 priority) carries 1,286.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 42 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 1017 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.3
67Critical call exposureDENVER CONDUIT NO 20 (1880 priority) carries 561.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 24 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 470 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.4
67Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentDENVER CONDUIT NO 20, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~178 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
66Critical call exposureDENVER CONDUIT NO 20 (1921 priority) carries 2,927.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 75 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2364 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.83.9
66Critical call exposureDENVER CONDUIT NO 20 (1879 priority) carries 558.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 23 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 465 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.4
65Critical call exposureDENVER CONDUIT NO 20 (1885 priority) carries 847.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 35 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 706 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.52.7
65Critical call exposureDENVER CONDUIT NO 20 (1881 priority) carries 569.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 24 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 471 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.5
65Critical call exposureDENVER CONDUIT NO 20 (1882 priority) carries 667.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 26 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 560 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.50.0
63Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentDENVER CONDUIT NO 20, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~159 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.98.9
61Augmentation condition not verifiedDENVER CONDUIT NO 20: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.70.0
59Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentDENVER CONDUIT NO 20, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~156 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.97.9
58Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentDENVER CONDUIT NO 20, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~93 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.77.8