BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_1164

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateAURORA INTAKE

AURORA INTAKE, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~207 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
85.3
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact1.00
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0801001
state
CO
county
DOUGLAS
admin_no
41776
division
1
latitude
39.431804
right_id
0801001-41776.00000
longitude
-105.126255
county_fips
08035
identifiers
{"wdid":"0801001"}
decreed_uses
28
legal_status
Conditional
water_source
SOUTH PLATTE RIVER
seniority_rank
22625
structure_name
AURORA INTAKE
structure_type
PIPELINE
water_district
8
decreed_rate_cfs
100
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":207}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1964-05-18
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_1164
record
0801001-41776.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureAURORA INTAKE (2004 priority) carries 3,957.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3181 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.99.4
90Critical call exposureAURORA INTAKE (1964 priority) carries 3,161.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 82 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2552 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.87.4
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentAURORA INTAKE, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
66Critical call exposureAURORA INTAKE (1881 priority) carries 573.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 25 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 471 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.6
66Critical call exposureAURORA INTAKE (1881 priority) carries 573.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 25 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 471 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.6
66Critical call exposureAURORA INTAKE (1888 priority) carries 1,158.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 42 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 927 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.57.4
66Critical call exposureAURORA INTAKE (1885 priority) carries 1,304.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 43 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 1035 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.59.6
66Critical call exposureAURORA INTAKE (1887 priority) carries 1,028.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 42 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 822 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.55.4
66Critical call exposureAURORA INTAKE (1878 priority) carries 558.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 23 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 464 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.4
66Critical call exposureAURORA INTAKE (1879 priority) carries 559.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 24 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 465 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.48.4
38Basin chokepoint callerAURORA INTAKE has put 1780 decreed rights (37,158 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 0 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 1991. Caller Power Index 27.1.27.1