BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0319

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidatePATTERSON DITCH →

PATTERSON DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
85.3
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact1.00
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0200836
state
CO
county
WELD
admin_no
51864
division
1
latitude
40.389912
right_id
0200836-51864.00000
longitude
-104.659499
county_fips
08123
identifiers
{"wdid":"0200836"}
decreed_uses
0
legal_status
Conditional
water_source
SOUTH PLATTE RIVER
seniority_rank
36767
structure_name
PATTERSON DITCH
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
2
decreed_rate_cfs
370
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":212}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1991-12-31
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0319
record
0200836-51864.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposurePATTERSON DITCH (1986 priority) carries 3,274.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 87 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2616 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.89.1
95Critical call exposurePATTERSON DITCH (1991 priority) carries 3,294.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 87 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2630 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.89.4
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentPATTERSON DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~211 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
66Critical call exposurePATTERSON DITCH (1996 priority) carries 3,895.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 89 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3134 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.98.5
61Underused water asset258.51118534 ac (WELD County, DPG FARMS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
58Underused water asset219.05229594 ac (WELD County, DPG FARMS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
54Underused water asset162.65650896 ac (WELD County, DPG FARMS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
53Augmentation condition not verifiedPATTERSON DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5
48Underused water asset79.28242347 ac (WELD County, CLARK DANIEL M): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
48Underused water asset76.51546975 ac (WELD County, ALVARADO MELCHOR PALMA): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
46Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10202629 (55 ac, CORN, served by PATTERSON DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.1
45Underused water asset40.51916485 ac (WELD County, ROOSEN PAUL HAROLD): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
45Underused water asset40.38902165 ac (WELD County, WESTERN EQUIPMENT & TRUCK INC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
45Underused water asset39.87060605 ac (WELD County, DEWEY R MARCY REVOCABLE TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
45Underused water asset39.82869239 ac (WELD County, LANGE LESLIE VAGNEUR TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
45Underused water asset39.28417536 ac (WELD County, LANGE LESLIE VAGNEUR TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
45Underused water asset39.21933514 ac (WELD County, LANGE LESLIE VAGNEUR TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
45Underused water asset37.82033281 ac (WELD County, CLARK CALEB M): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
45Underused water asset36.12209413 ac (WELD County, GOZA CALVEN T): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
45Underused water asset35.93825776 ac (WELD County, DPG FARMS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
44Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10202586 (30 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by PATTERSON DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.6
44Underused water asset31.19165075 ac (WELD County, FOSTER DONN L): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
44Underused water asset30.8146982 ac (WELD County, GREELEY CITY OF): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
44Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10201279 (26 ac, CORN, served by PATTERSON DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.5
44Underused water asset24.75999419 ac (WELD County, CLARK CALEB M): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
44Underused water asset24.02824169 ac (WELD County, MC DONNELL WILLIAM M): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
44Decree-to-current-use conflict5.1583747 ac residential parcel is served by PATTERSON DITCH, whose decree permits only [1]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.5
43Underused water asset21.88751309 ac (WELD County, JOHNSON WAYNE C): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
43Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10206970 (16 ac, CORN, served by PATTERSON DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.3
43Underused water asset21.78928241 ac (WELD County, DPG FARMS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
43Decree-to-current-use conflict4.324457 ac residential parcel is served by PATTERSON DITCH, whose decree permits only [1]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.63.7
43Decree-to-current-use conflict5.0965449 ac residential parcel is served by PATTERSON DITCH, whose decree permits only [1]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.59.4
43Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10202896 (16 ac, CORN, served by PATTERSON DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.3
43Decree-to-current-use conflict7.99254281 ac residential parcel is served by PATTERSON DITCH, whose decree permits only [1]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.8
43Decree-to-current-use conflict6.4636368 ac commercial parcel is served by PATTERSON DITCH, whose decree permits only [1]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.63.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflict6.4636368 ac commercial parcel is served by PATTERSON DITCH, whose decree permits only [1]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.8
43Decree-to-current-use conflict1.39372106 ac residential parcel is served by PATTERSON DITCH, whose decree permits only [1]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.8
43Decree-to-current-use conflict1.26391073 ac residential parcel is served by PATTERSON DITCH, whose decree permits only [1]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.64.4
43Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10302493 (14 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by PATTERSON DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.3
43Decree-to-current-use conflict1.59989104 ac residential parcel is served by PATTERSON DITCH, whose decree permits only [1]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.7
43Decree-to-current-use conflict2.35200338 ac residential parcel is served by PATTERSON DITCH, whose decree permits only [1]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.61.5
43Decree-to-current-use conflict2.35200338 ac residential parcel is served by PATTERSON DITCH, whose decree permits only [1]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.7
43Underused water asset18.37823362 ac (WELD County, LANGE LESLIE VAGNEUR TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
43Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10302143 (12 ac, CORN, served by PATTERSON DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.88.2
43Underused water asset18.01335515 ac (WELD County, GONZALEZ JESUS L): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
43Underused water asset17.98509233 ac (WELD County, LANGE LESLIE VAGNEUR TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
43Decree-to-current-use conflict5.20854963 ac residential parcel is served by PATTERSON DITCH, whose decree permits only [1]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.64.3
43Decree-to-current-use conflict2.42903283 ac residential parcel is served by PATTERSON DITCH, whose decree permits only [1]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Decree-to-current-use conflict2.42903283 ac residential parcel is served by PATTERSON DITCH, whose decree permits only [1]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.65.1
43Underused water asset12.07243554 ac (WELD County, WELD COUNTY): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on PATTERSON DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6