BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0314

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateUNION DITCH

UNION DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
71.8
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.55
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0200828
state
CO
county
WELD
admin_no
59382
division
1
latitude
40.312968
right_id
0200828-59382.00000
longitude
-104.816296
county_fips
08123
identifiers
{"wdid":"0200828"}
decreed_uses
AR
legal_status
Conditional
water_source
SOUTH PLATTE RIVER
seniority_rank
51940
structure_name
UNION DITCH
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
2
decreed_rate_cfs
55
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":212}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
2012-07-31
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0314
record
0200828-59382.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureUNION DITCH (1915 priority) carries 2,791.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 73 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2227 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.81.9
95Critical call exposureUNION DITCH (1898 priority) carries 2,280.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 51 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 1866 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.74.2
95Critical call exposureUNION DITCH (1900 priority) carries 2,331.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 53 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 1900 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.75.0
86Critical call exposureUNION DITCH (1881 priority) carries 649.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 25 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 543 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.49.7
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentUNION DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~178 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentUNION DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~204 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentUNION DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~181 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
84Basin chokepoint callerUNION DITCH has put 2487 decreed rights (61,564 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 43,877 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 55.7.55.7
80Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentUNION DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~99 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.79.7
79Augmentation condition not verifiedUNION DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
78Critical call exposureUNION DITCH (2012 priority) carries 3,981.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3199 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.99.7
67Critical call exposureUNION DITCH (2003 priority) carries 3,940 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3168 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.99.1
58Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentUNION DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
57Underused water asset206.41567245 ac (WELD County, TXI OPERATIONS LP): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
55Underused water asset178.28043052 ac (WELD County, DIXIE WATER LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
55Underused water asset173.82852816 ac (WELD County, ALLES GARY D): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
54Underused water asset160.09994721 ac (WELD County, FRANKLIN WILLIAM J REVOCABLE LIVING TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
53Underused water asset149.13228036 ac (WELD County, TXI OPERATIONS LP): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
53Underused water asset145.24796335 ac (WELD County, TXI OPERATIONS LP): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
53Underused water asset142.20362403 ac (WELD County, ALLES HARRY LEE REVOCABLE TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
51Underused water asset122.56904649 ac (WELD County, FIVE RIVERS CATTLE FEEDING LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
51Underused water asset121.42394256 ac (WELD County, LOFLAND FARM LIMITED LIABILITY CO): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
51Decree-to-current-use conflict46.08453613 ac industrial parcel is served by UNION DITCH, whose decree permits only [15AR]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.69.3
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10201791 (136 ac, CORN, served by UNION DITCH) now spans 4 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
50Underused water asset115.00093449 ac (WELD County, STROHAUER HARRY): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
50Underused water asset111.78990795 ac (WELD County, GEORGE AND JEAN MAXEY LIVING TRUST 2014): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
50Underused water asset111.30550918 ac (WELD County, CARLETON & DEJONG LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
49Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10200485 (112 ac, ALFALFA, served by UNION DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.2
49Underused water asset94.31915546 ac (WELD County, DUMLER EILEEN): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset84.10271577 ac (WELD County, FIVE RIVERS CATTLE FEEDING LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset81.56499967 ac (WELD County, TXI OPERATIONS LP): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset81.24528493 ac (WELD County, OSGOOD DIANE L TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset80.91867131 ac (WELD County, ALLES JOHN LEE): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset80.14433601 ac (WELD County, ALLES GARY D): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset79.7358311 ac (WELD County, TXI OPERATIONS LP): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset79.56719731 ac (WELD County, TXI OPERATIONS LP): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset79.47049553 ac (WELD County, HOFF MARK W): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset79.44646382 ac (WELD County, BROWN MARJORIE A): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset79.15818918 ac (WELD County, ALLES GARY D): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset79.08982364 ac (WELD County, RAPTOR MATERIALS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset78.25466196 ac (WELD County, SAUER RAYMOND A): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset77.81978284 ac (WELD County, BADLEY GLENN): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset77.90908731 ac (WELD County, KALLAS FAMILY REVOCABLE TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset77.79555291 ac (WELD County, TXI OPERATIONS LP): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset76.85080642 ac (WELD County, ALLES GARY D): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset76.64664335 ac (WELD County, LOWER LATHAM RESERVOIR COMPANY): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset76.53767293 ac (WELD County, KEISER G A FAMILY TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
48Underused water asset75.34315183 ac (WELD County, WALKER KEVIN D): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10212036 (83 ac, CORN, served by UNION DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.7
47Underused water asset75.14533942 ac (WELD County, CRAVEN REX): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on UNION DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.76.0