BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0305

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateWESTERN MUTUAL DITCH →

WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~211 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
73.0
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.59
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0200825
state
CO
county
WELD
admin_no
50114
division
1
latitude
40.233321
right_id
0200825-50114.00000
longitude
-104.858571
county_fips
08123
identifiers
{"wdid":"0200825"}
decreed_uses
AR
legal_status
Absolute and Conditional
water_source
SOUTH PLATTE RIVER
seniority_rank
35355
structure_name
WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
2
decreed_rate_cfs
59.13
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":211}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
1987-03-17
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0305
record
0200825-50114.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureWESTERN MUTUAL DITCH (2005 priority) carries 3,895 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3133 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.98.4
95Critical call exposureWESTERN MUTUAL DITCH (2016 priority) carries 3,895.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3133 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.98.4
86Critical call exposureWESTERN MUTUAL DITCH (1894 priority) carries 1,235.8 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 45 senior caller(s); dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH (212.4 day-eq). 968 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.58.5
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentWESTERN MUTUAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentWESTERN MUTUAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Basin chokepoint callerWESTERN MUTUAL DITCH has put 2609 decreed rights (62,355 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 264,809.6 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 61.4.61.4
81Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentWESTERN MUTUAL DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller EVANS NO 2 DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
79Critical call exposureWESTERN MUTUAL DITCH (1987 priority) carries 3,172.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 86 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2537 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.87.6
79Augmentation condition not verifiedWESTERN MUTUAL DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
72Underused water asset413.85012966 ac (WELD County, UNITED MILLIKEN RESERVOIR ENTERPRISE LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
68Critical caller value-at-riskWESTERN MUTUAL DITCH's observed call reaches 1536 parcels — 26,912 coverage-weighted acres, $25.9M assessed value, 906 distinct owners — through the 8 structures it has put out of priority (264,809.6 day-equivalents, most recently 2026).74.4
66Critical call exposureWESTERN MUTUAL DITCH (2016 priority) carries 3,895.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3133 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.98.4
61Decree-to-current-use conflict9.21704029 ac commercial parcel is served by WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH, whose decree permits only [12AC]. Development use conflicts with the irrigation decree — a change case is likely required before water follows the project.89.1
58Underused water asset209.78583531 ac (WELD County, AURORA CITY OF): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
54Underused water asset161.57944881 ac (WELD County, PETROCCO FAMILY LTD PRTNSHP LLLP (77%)): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
54Underused water asset159.92946455 ac (WELD County, W C L LIMITED PARTNERSHIP): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
54Underused water asset159.4121638 ac (WELD County, PUBLIC SERVICE CO OF COLO): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
53Underused water asset153.09564326 ac (WELD County, HS LAND AND CATTLE LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
53Underused water asset147.0290898 ac (WELD County, HALFLIGHT LAND & MINERALS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
53Underused water asset144.8967982 ac (WELD County, CENTRAL COLORADO WATER CONSERVANCY DISTRICT): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
53Underused water asset143.59664272 ac (WELD County, PUBLIC SERVICE CO OF COLO): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
52Underused water asset140.57692559 ac (WELD County, JERKE BROTHERS TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
52Underused water asset138.56217267 ac (WELD County, JANECZKO MICHAEL A): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
52Underused water asset138.41582435 ac (WELD County, AURORA CITY OF): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
52Underused water asset138.23894484 ac (WELD County, SCHMIDT TYLENE L TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
52Underused water asset137.63322637 ac (WELD County, LITTLE PLATTE FARM LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
51Underused water asset125.88323376 ac (WELD County, HIDDEN PLATTE RANCH LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10210066 (139 ac, ALFALFA, served by WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.8
51Underused water asset118.39982514 ac (WELD County, UNITED MILLIKEN RESERVOIR ENTERPRISE LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10212222 (135 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH) now spans 4 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
50Underused water asset114.53585208 ac (WELD County, AURORA CITY OF): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10212997 (125 ac, CORN, served by WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.5
49Underused water asset100.14069699 ac (WELD County, SB FARMS INC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
49Underused water asset93.46418141 ac (WELD County, STEWART JAMES K): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
49Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10202623 (105 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH) now spans 4 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
49Underused water asset89.20529746 ac (WELD County, ANNAN FLORENCE): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
48Underused water asset85.29145974 ac (WELD County, STROHAUER HARRY): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
48Underused water asset83.51383314 ac (WELD County, HS LAND & CATTLE LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
48Underused water asset83.51969954 ac (WELD County, FRONT RANGE LAND & LIVESTOCK LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
48Underused water asset83.08693828 ac (WELD County, FIVE RIVERS CATTLE FEEDING LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
48Underused water asset82.23652521 ac (WELD County, FIVE RIVERS CATTLE FEEDING LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
48Underused water asset81.99687494 ac (WELD County, PRINTZ KATHRYN S): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
48Underused water asset81.87510661 ac (WELD County, HS LAND & CATTLE LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
48Underused water asset81.15786952 ac (WELD County, CRAVEN REX P): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
48Underused water asset81.05537875 ac (WELD County, FIVE RIVERS CATTLE FEEDING LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
48Underused water asset80.43144349 ac (WELD County, EWING ROBERT T TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
48Underused water asset79.74721238 ac (WELD County, CRAVEN REX): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
48Underused water asset79.12253572 ac (WELD County, HS LAND & CATTLE LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
48Underused water asset78.7992248 ac (WELD County, FIVE RIVERS CATTLE FEEDING LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6
48Underused water asset78.67431446 ac (WELD County, FRONT RANGE LAND & LIVESTOCK LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on WESTERN MUTUAL DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.6