BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0284

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH

LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
85.3
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact1.00
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0200812
state
CO
county
WELD
admin_no
59169
division
1
latitude
40.035134
right_id
0200812-59169.00000
longitude
-104.829468
county_fips
08123
identifiers
{"wdid":"0200812"}
decreed_uses
347A
legal_status
Conditional
water_source
SOUTH PLATTE RIVER
seniority_rank
51500
structure_name
LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
2
decreed_rate_cfs
150
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":212}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
2011-12-31
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0284
record
0200812-59169.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH (2013 priority) carries 3,997.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3212 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.100.0
95Critical call exposureLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH (2012 priority) carries 3,997.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3212 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.100.0
95Critical call exposureLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH (1991 priority) carries 3,292.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 86 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2630 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.89.4
95Critical call exposureLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH (2007 priority) carries 3,997.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3212 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.100.0
95Critical call exposureLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH (2011 priority) carries 3,997.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3212 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.100.0
93Critical call exposureLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH (2006 priority) carries 3,997.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3212 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.100.0
90Critical call exposureLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH (2005 priority) carries 3,997.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3212 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
79Augmentation condition not verifiedLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
75Critical call exposureLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH (1994 priority) carries 3,719.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 88 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2971 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.95.8
69Critical call exposureLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH (1991 priority) carries 3,292.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 86 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2630 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.89.4
67Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
66Critical call exposureLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH (2004 priority) carries 3,997.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3212 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.100.0
66Critical call exposureLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH (1996 priority) carries 3,894.2 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 88 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3134 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.98.4
66Critical call exposureLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH (2009 priority) carries 3,997.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3212 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.100.0
66Critical call exposureLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH (2014 priority) carries 3,997.3 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3212 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.100.0
66Critical call exposureLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH (2006 priority) carries 3,997.1 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 90 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3212 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.100.0
60Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentLUPTON BOTTOM DITCH, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
55Underused water asset169.61412465 ac (WELD County, VOGL RICHARD JAMES): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
54Underused water asset157.73881377 ac (WELD County, MAYER FAMILY FARMS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
53Underused water asset154.36278221 ac (WELD County, MCCLAY STEVEN A): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
51Underused water asset127.87096463 ac (WELD County, PIONEER LAND COMPANY LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
51Underused water asset119.37809246 ac (WELD County, TRICYCLE LANE TEXAS LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10204150 (126 ac, ALFALFA, served by LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH) now spans 4 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
50Underused water asset105.56327785 ac (WELD County, LEWIS WILLIAM M JR LIVING TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
49Underused water asset98.84991175 ac (WELD County, LUPTON REAL ESTATE WEST LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Underused water asset88.30718665 ac (WELD County, PIONEER LAND COMPANY LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Underused water asset81.00158686 ac (WELD County, LG EVERIST INC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Underused water asset79.90822896 ac (WELD County, HEIN RICHARD): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Underused water asset78.79553361 ac (WELD County, VONFELDT DANIEL L REVOCABLE TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Underused water asset78.58670105 ac (WELD County, CARLSON JAMES V JR): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Underused water asset77.53626119 ac (WELD County, WAGNER EUGENE J FAMILY TRUST): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
48Underused water asset77.3991058 ac (WELD County, KERR MCGEE GATHERING LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
47Underused water asset71.48390575 ac (WELD County, LG EVERIST INC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
47Underused water asset68.85189857 ac (WELD County, MILLER JOE R): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
47Underused water asset67.17376677 ac (WELD County, PIONEER LAND COMPANY LLC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
47Underused water asset66.83051865 ac (WELD County, COUFAL RICHARD EUGENE): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
47Underused water asset66.31096614 ac (WELD County, MATSUSHIMA KAREN): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
47Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-10215230 (72 ac, VEGETABLES, served by LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.89.4
47Underused water asset65.94436021 ac (WELD County, KERR ROBERT W): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
47Underused water asset65.29276108 ac (WELD County, BRIGHTON CITY OF): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
46Underused water asset60.05160283 ac (WELD County, WILSON BRUCE B): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
46Underused water asset60.04275704 ac (WELD County, MCWILLIAMS STEVEN S): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
46Underused water asset57.90302412 ac (WELD County, LG EVERIST INC): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8
46Underused water asset56.81365191 ac (WELD County, HAMLIN GERALD D): mapped irrigation ended 2020 — 6 years idle — while senior physical service on LUPTON BOTTOM DITCH still attaches. Idle water on idle ground.77.8