BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0212

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateMANN LAKES SOUTH PLATTE RIVER DIVERSION

MANN LAKES SOUTH PLATTE RIVER DIVERSION, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
61.5
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.21
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0200588
state
CO
county
ADAMS
admin_no
60630.60629
division
1
latitude
39.916372
right_id
0200588-60630.60629
longitude
-104.87611
county_fips
08001
identifiers
{"wdid":"0200588"}
decreed_uses
AX
legal_status
Conditional
water_source
SOUTH PLATTE RIVER
seniority_rank
53395
structure_name
MANN LAKES SOUTH PLATTE RIVER DIVERSION
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
2
decreed_rate_cfs
21
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":212}
decreed_volume_af
null
appropriation_date
2015-12-30
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0212
record
0200588-60630.60629 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
75Augmentation condition not verifiedMANN LAKES SOUTH PLATTE RIVER DIVERSION: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.85.0
70Critical call exposureMANN LAKES SOUTH PLATTE RIVER DIVERSION (2015 priority) carries 3,999 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 91 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3212 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.100.0
70Critical call exposureMANN LAKES SOUTH PLATTE RIVER DIVERSION (2015 priority) carries 3,999 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 91 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3212 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.100.0
66Critical call exposureMANN LAKES SOUTH PLATTE RIVER DIVERSION (2019 priority) carries 3,999 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 91 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3212 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.100.0
62Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentMANN LAKES SOUTH PLATTE RIVER DIVERSION, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
53Augmentation condition not verifiedMANN LAKES SOUTH PLATTE RIVER DIVERSION: the decree requires augmentation coverage for out-of-priority depletions, but NO plan membership is found. Verify coverage before relying on this supply — absent a plan, curtailment is immediate on the next call.59.5