BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances
Overview / Signals / Season call nowcast: expected curtailment / siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0078

Season call nowcast: expected curtailment

candidateNORTH STERLING CANAL →

NORTH STERLING CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.

Priority
58.3
composite 0–100
Raw score
100.0
detector output 0–100
Confidence
0.70
0–1
Observed
2026-07-18
12:00:00
Priority componentsweights: impact .30 · urgency .25 · confidence .20 · freshness .15 · novelty .10
impact0.10
urgency0.85
confidence0.70
freshness0.90
novelty0.65
Record payloadcustomer_payload — everything the detector carried
wdid
0100687
state
CO
county
MORGAN
admin_no
55882
division
1
latitude
40.352467
right_id
0100687-55882.00000
longitude
-103.540766
county_fips
08087
identifiers
{"wdid":"0100687"}
decreed_uses
AR
legal_status
Conditional
water_source
SOUTH PLATTE RIVER
seniority_rank
42553
structure_name
NORTH STERLING CANAL
structure_type
DITCH
water_district
1
decreed_rate_cfs
null
score_components
{"swe_pct_median":61,"condition_class":"severe","dominant_caller":"SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT","p_call_by_jun15":1,"comparable_seasons":6,"expected_curtailment_days":212}
decreed_volume_af
24000
appropriation_date
2002-12-31
Provenance receiptexactly where this detection came from
instance id
siginst_ep_wr_20260718_call-nowcast-exposure_0078
record
0100687-55882.00000 @ water_rights
signal
signal:call-nowcast-exposure
definition
v1
genome
v1 · run run_water_rights_v1
epoch
ep_wr_20260718
lineage status
resolved
detected
2026-07-18 12:00:00
valid from
2026-07-18 12:00:00
source refs
["cdss-structures","cdss-netamounts","cdss-admin-calls","cdss-divrec","co-oit-parcels","nrcs-snotel","openet","water-court-outcomes","ditch-ledger-program"]
Co-firing signalsother detections on this record
PriSignalDetailScore
95Critical call exposureNORTH STERLING CANAL (1996 priority) carries 3,734.9 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 88 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2987 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.96.0
95Critical call exposureNORTH STERLING CANAL (1914 priority) carries 2,809 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 75 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2240 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.82.1
95Critical call exposureNORTH STERLING CANAL (1908 priority) carries 2,453.4 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 63 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 1971 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.76.8
95Critical call exposureNORTH STERLING CANAL (1915 priority) carries 2,809 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 75 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 2240 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.82.1
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentNORTH STERLING CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentNORTH STERLING CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~183 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentNORTH STERLING CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~204 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
85Season call nowcast: expected curtailmentNORTH STERLING CANAL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~204 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.100.0
80Basin chokepoint callerNORTH STERLING CANAL has put 2009 decreed rights (48,178 cfs decreed, 0 distinct owners) out of priority — 287,053.3 day-equivalents of administered curtailment, most recently 2026. Caller Power Index 52.2.52.2
70Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16412228 (460 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 4 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
66Critical call exposureNORTH STERLING CANAL (2002 priority) carries 3,755.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 88 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3003 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.96.3
62Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16412216 (329 ac, SUGAR_BEETS, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 4 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
61Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407840 (316 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.94.3
58Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16406262 (252 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
56Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16408794 (223 ac, ALFALFA, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.92.5
56Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16413414 (221 ac, ALFALFA, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 4 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
55Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407622 (213 ac, SUGAR_BEETS, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.92.3
54Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16412123 (198 ac, ALFALFA, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
54Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407787 (193 ac, GRASS_PASTURE, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
53Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16411573 (176 ac, ALFALFA, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
53Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16408416 (172 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
53Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16408742 (168 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.91.4
53Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407502 (168 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.91.4
52Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407301 (166 ac, ALFALFA, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 4 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 4 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
52Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16405755 (159 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 0 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
52Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16408879 (156 ac, ALFALFA, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.91.1
52Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16406947 (154 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 3 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.100.0
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407898 (148 ac, ALFALFA, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.91.0
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407317 (147 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.9
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16411452 (138 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.8
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16408737 (138 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.8
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16408526 (136 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.7
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407354 (136 ac, SUGAR_BEETS, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.7
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16413416 (135 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.7
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16411858 (134 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.7
51Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16408796 (133 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.7
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16411340 (131 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.6
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16408882 (131 ac, ALFALFA, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.6
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16413055 (128 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.6
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407434 (127 ac, ALFALFA, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 3 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 3 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.99.5
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16412578 (127 ac, ALFALFA, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.5
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407510 (127 ac, ALFALFA, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.5
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407252 (126 ac, ALFALFA, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 0 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.5
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16406949 (126 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.5
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16413419 (126 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.5
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16412081 (125 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.5
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407984 (124 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.5
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16412154 (124 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.5
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16407858 (123 ac, ALFALFA, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 2 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.5
50Parcel-split allocation riskIrrigated place D1-2020-16411140 (123 ac, CORN, served by NORTH STERLING CANAL) now spans 2 parcels held by 1 owner(s) — 2 parcel(s) show NO entitlement instrument of their own. The land split; the water paper didn't.90.5