BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances

Overview / structure / dependency report

MEAD RES 3

WDID 0504370Water Right Dependency Report · generated from release evidence · 2026-08-04

Decreed

33.0 cfs

1 right(s) · senior 1981-12-01

Median reliability

81%

severe: 7%

Observed callers

dominant: HIGHLAND DITCH

Served land

0 parcels

$0 assessed

Active signals

0 entitlement gap(s)

1 · What it isdecree components and legal genealogy

Right	Priority	Amount	Uses	Status
0504370-48212.48182	1981-12-01 (admin 48212.48182)	33 cfs	2	Absolute

2 · How it has performedbeneficial-use evidence, honestly classified

3 · What it depends on & who controls its riverobserved call causality + supply support

HIGHLAND DITCH: 156.8 day-eq · 94 episodes / 22 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.98
JAMES DITCH: 130.6 day-eq · 96 episodes / 22 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.98
OLIGARCHY DITCH: 74.1 day-eq · 54 episodes / 20 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.98
ST VRAIN PALMERTON DITCH: 64.1 day-eq · 41 episodes / 19 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.98
ROUGH READY DITCH: 61.2 day-eq · 69 episodes / 21 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.98
SUPPLY DITCH: 59.4 day-eq · 70 episodes / 20 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.98
owner evidence: MEAD, TOWN OF · corroborated (0.72)

4 · What happens under stressempirical administration replay + season nowcast

median year: 81% seasonal reliability
severe drought (2002-class): 7% seasonal reliability
method: empirical replay of observed administration by condition class — modeled, not observed

5 · What else is affected — the land under this waterserved parcels with entitlement + conveyance posture (three truths, never collapsed)

Parcel	Owner (assessor)	Acres	Assessed	Coverage	Entitlement	Deed posture

6 · What can impair it — active signalsevery detection on this structure, its rights, and its land

Pri	Signal	Detail	Score
73	Critical call exposure	MEAD RES 3 (1981 priority) carries 1,053.5 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 50 senior caller(s); dominant caller HIGHLAND DITCH (156.8 day-eq). 855 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.	55.8
65	Season call nowcast: expected curtailment	MEAD RES 3, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~199 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller HIGHLAND DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.	100.0
64	Drought reliability cliff	MEAD RES 3: modeled irrigation-season reliability 81% in median years → 29% dry → 7% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 74-point cliff under stress.	100.0

7 · Verify before closingthe transaction-specific evidence checklist

confirm administration exposure: 6 observed senior caller(s); verify current call status with the division office
professional review: this report is data intelligence, not a legal or engineering opinion

Evidence basewhat this report rests on — and what it doesn't

source coverage: 6/10 sources live — development (seed fallback present)
sources: CDSS structures/net-amounts/calls/diversions · OIT parcels (annual, ≤12mo lag) · irrigated lands · satellite ET · court outcomes · company ledgers
disclaimer: data intelligence from public + program records; not a legal opinion, engineering report, or title commitment