BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances

Overview / structure / dependency report

CACHE LA POUDRE R W DRN

WDID 0300813Water Right Dependency Report · generated from release evidence · 2026-07-31

Decreed

110.0 cfs

1 right(s) · senior 1892-03-17

Median reliability

82%

severe: 23%

Observed callers

dominant: OGILVY DITCH

Served land

0 parcels

$0 assessed

Active signals

0 entitlement gap(s)

1 · What it isdecree components and legal genealogy

Right	Priority	Amount	Uses	Status
0300813-44194.15417	1892-03-17 (admin 44194.15417)	110 cfs	12347ACR	Absolute

2 · How it has performedbeneficial-use evidence, honestly classified

3 · What it depends on & who controls its riverobserved call causality + supply support

OGILVY DITCH: 236.5 day-eq · 12 episodes / 7 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.84
LARIMER WELD IRR CANAL: 200.6 day-eq · 95 episodes / 22 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.98
NEW CACHE LA POUDRE CO DITCH: 197.3 day-eq · 95 episodes / 22 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.98
CANAL 3 DITCH: 192.7 day-eq · 27 episodes / 15 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.98
CACHE LA POUDRE DITCH: 109.5 day-eq · 32 episodes / 18 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.98
TAYLOR GILL DITCH: 97.5 day-eq · 13 episodes / 8 seasons · last 2025 · conf 0.91
owner evidence: CACHE LA POUDRE IRRIGATION CO · corroborated (0.72)

4 · What happens under stressempirical administration replay + season nowcast

median year: 82% seasonal reliability
severe drought (2002-class): 23% seasonal reliability
method: empirical replay of observed administration by condition class — modeled, not observed

5 · What else is affected — the land under this waterserved parcels with entitlement + conveyance posture (three truths, never collapsed)

Parcel	Owner (assessor)	Acres	Assessed	Coverage	Entitlement	Deed posture

6 · What can impair it — active signalsevery detection on this structure, its rights, and its land

Pri	Signal	Detail	Score
92	Critical call exposure	CACHE LA POUDRE R W DRN (1892 priority) carries 1,272.7 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 33 senior caller(s); dominant caller OGILVY DITCH (236.5 day-eq). 934 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.	59.1
85	Season call nowcast: expected curtailment	CACHE LA POUDRE R W DRN, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~165 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller OGILVY DITCH: P(call by Jun 15) = 0 over 3 comparable seasons.	82.8
80	Drought reliability cliff	CACHE LA POUDRE R W DRN: modeled irrigation-season reliability 82% in median years → 32% dry → 23% severe drought (2002-class replay). A 59-point cliff under stress.	88.3

7 · Verify before closingthe transaction-specific evidence checklist

confirm administration exposure: 6 observed senior caller(s); verify current call status with the division office
professional review: this report is data intelligence, not a legal or engineering opinion

Evidence basewhat this report rests on — and what it doesn't

source coverage: 6/10 sources live — development (seed fallback present)
sources: CDSS structures/net-amounts/calls/diversions · OIT parcels (annual, ≤12mo lag) · irrigated lands · satellite ET · court outcomes · company ledgers
disclaimer: data intelligence from public + program records; not a legal opinion, engineering report, or title commitment