BasinWise — Dependency & Reliability Intelligencerelease v1 · genome v1 · run run_water_rights_v133 signals92,201 instances

Overview / structure / dependency report

ERGER'S PL

WDID 0200969Water Right Dependency Report · generated from release evidence · 2026-07-31

Decreed

347.4 cfs

2 right(s) · senior 1998-04-15

Median reliability

19%

severe: 1%

Observed callers

dominant: SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT

Served land

0 parcels

$0 assessed

Active signals

0 entitlement gap(s)

1 · What it isdecree components and legal genealogy

Right	Priority	Amount	Uses	Status
0200969-54161.00000	1998-04-15 (admin 54161.00000)	47.4 cfs	134AQ	Absolute and Conditional
0200969-57856.00000	2008-05-27 (admin 57856.00000)	300 cfs	2	Conditional

2 · How it has performedbeneficial-use evidence, honestly classified

3 · What it depends on & who controls its riverobserved call causality + supply support

SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: 1146.2 day-eq · 306 episodes / 36 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.98
BURLINGTON D RIVER HEADGATE: 845.0 day-eq · 1174 episodes / 37 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.98
HARMONY DITCH 2: 719.4 day-eq · 194 episodes / 16 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.98
LITTLETON BOAT CHUTE NO 9: 651.0 day-eq · 160 episodes / 10 seasons · last 2025 · conf 0.98
EVANS NO 2 DITCH: 504.4 day-eq · 555 episodes / 33 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.98
LITTLETON BOAT CHUTE NO 10: 421.0 day-eq · 30 episodes / 3 seasons · last 2026 · conf 0.56
owner evidence: AGGREGATE INDUSTRIES - WCR INC · probable (0.55)
owner evidence: AGGREGATE INDUSTRIES - WCR INC · probable (0.55)

4 · What happens under stressempirical administration replay + season nowcast

median year: 19% seasonal reliability
severe drought (2002-class): 1% seasonal reliability
method: empirical replay of observed administration by condition class — modeled, not observed

5 · What else is affected — the land under this waterserved parcels with entitlement + conveyance posture (three truths, never collapsed)

Parcel	Owner (assessor)	Acres	Assessed	Coverage	Entitlement	Deed posture

6 · What can impair it — active signalsevery detection on this structure, its rights, and its land

Pri	Signal	Detail	Score
95	Critical call exposure	ERGER'S PL (2008 priority) carries 3,999 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 91 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3212 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.	100.0
85	Season call nowcast: expected curtailment	ERGER'S PL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.	100.0
76	Critical call exposure	ERGER'S PL (1998 priority) carries 3,899.6 day-equivalents of observed call exposure from 89 senior caller(s); dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT (573.1 day-eq). 3140 season-days curtailed in the last five seasons.	98.5
69	Season call nowcast: expected curtailment	ERGER'S PL, 2026 season outlook: Apr 1 SWE 61% of median → severe-class year; expected curtailment ~212 of 214 season days from the basin's administration record. Dominant caller SOUTH PLATTE RIVER COMPACT: P(call by Jun 15) = 1 over 6 comparable seasons.	100.0

7 · Verify before closingthe transaction-specific evidence checklist

resolve right ownership: best evidence is probable — county deed research + company records required
verify diligence status: conditional components require a current diligence finding
confirm administration exposure: 6 observed senior caller(s); verify current call status with the division office
professional review: this report is data intelligence, not a legal or engineering opinion

Evidence basewhat this report rests on — and what it doesn't

source coverage: 6/10 sources live — development (seed fallback present)
sources: CDSS structures/net-amounts/calls/diversions · OIT parcels (annual, ≤12mo lag) · irrigated lands · satellite ET · court outcomes · company ledgers
disclaimer: data intelligence from public + program records; not a legal opinion, engineering report, or title commitment